Match Info

Coppa Italia - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)

Referee: Bonacina K. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Parma		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.25	3.8
	1.95	3.25	3.70
	2.08	3.3	3.7	Watch
	2.16	3.31	3.77
	2.1	3.25	3.73	Watch
	2.08	3.2	3.65
	2.08	3.2	3.57	Watch
	2.02	3.1	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.88)	3.23 ↑ (3.23)	3.68 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parma
45.5%

Draw
29%

Cremonese
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

27.8%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

28.7%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.9%	26.1%	0%

Parma - Cremonese Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 26.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 56% – 91.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Daffara G. (G) 27. Britschgi S. 72. Drobnic D. 5. Valenti L. (C) 29. Carboni F. 47. Konate A. 32. Ordonez C. 80. Fabbian G. 7. Diallo O. 23. Elphege N. 20. Frigan M.	22. Agazzi F. (G) 38. Vogliacco A. 33. Grassi A. (C) 13. Fellipe Jack 21. Rocchetti Y. 8. Lottici Tessadri S. 20. Pontisso S. 10. Licina A. 14. Berti T. 71. Elia S. 19. Nasti M.
Substitutes
11. Almqvist P. 40. Corvi E. (G) 8. Cremaschi B. 15. Delprato E. 25. De Martis T. 16. Keita M. 76. Lontani S. 75. Mazzocchi A. (G) 3. Ndiaye A. 71. Pajsar K. 9. Romero D. 19. Toure E. B. 37. Troilo M. 14. Valeri E.	15. Bianchetti M. 90. Bonazzoli F. 9. De Luca M. 11. Djuric M. 12. Festa M. (G) 16. Gerli F. 59. Liberali R. (G) 25. Lordkipanidze D. 5. Luperto S. 2. Thorsby M. 27. Vandeputte J.
Coaches
Cuesta C.	Giampaolo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Lottici Tessadri S. ⚽, Nasti M. (A),
41', 0 - 2, Licina A. ⚽, Berti T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rocchetti Y. ↓, Luperto S. ↑,
46', Elia S. ↓, Vandeputte J. ↑,
46', Elphege N. ↓, Toure E. B. ↑,
46', Konate A. ↓, Keita M. ↑,
46', Diallo O. ↓, Romero D. ↑,
50', Valenti L. 🟨,
58', Licina A. 🟨,
63', Frigan M. ↓, Almqvist P. ↑,
70', Nasti M. ↓, De Luca M. ↑,
78', Vogliacco A. ↓, Bianchetti M. ↑,
78', Carboni F. ↓, Valeri E. ↑,
85', Berti T. ↓, Djuric M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parma won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Parma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

Parma could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Parma won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Parma won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Parma - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 47.66%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
29.08.26	Juventus - Parma	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Parma - Cagliari	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
14.08.26	Parma - Catania	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Parma - Iraklis	1:1 ✺
30.07.26	Parma - Arezzo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWTT
- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
28.08.26	Cremonese - Modena	0:3 ✺
22.08.26	Empoli - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
17.08.26	Cremonese - Sampdoria	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.26	Cremonese - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
24.07.26	Cremonese - Giana Erminio	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
21.03.26	Parma - Cremonese	0:2
21.09.25	Cremonese - Parma	0:0
Italian Serie B
05.05.24	Parma - Cremonese	1:1
01.10.23	Cremonese - Parma	1:2
15.02.22	Cremonese - Parma	3:1
19.09.21	Parma - Cremonese	1:2
20.01.18	Cremonese - Parma	1:0

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