Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 28

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	Crevillente Deportivo		Castellonense

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.05	1.92
	3.65	2.93	2.19
	3.34	3.00	2.23	Watch
	3.5	2.8	2.1
	3.69	2.8	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↓ (4.1)	2.92 ↓ (3.2)	2.11 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crevillente Deportivo
25.4%

Draw
31.3%

Castellonense
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

28.3%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

28%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crevillente Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Castellonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castellonense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crevillente Deportivo than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellonense than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castellonense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Crevillente Deportivo - Castellonense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Crevillente has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Castellonense is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Castellonense is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Crevillente won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.7:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Crevillente won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Crevillente	4	1	3	0	6:5	1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crevillente Deportivo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
22.03.26	Ontinyent 1931 - Crevillente Deportivo	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Crevillente Deportivo - Villarreal C	1:2 ✺
11.03.26	Buñol - Crevillente Deportivo	0:4 ✺
08.03.26	La Nucía - Crevillente Deportivo	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Crevillente Deportivo - Atlético Saguntino	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WLWLT
- UD Castellonense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
22.03.26	Castellonense - Soneja	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Buñol - Castellonense	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Castellonense - Utiel	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Vall de Uxó - Castellonense	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Castellonense - Alzira	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
16.11.25	Castellonense - Crevillente Deportivo	2:1
23.02.25	Castellonense - Crevillente Deportivo	4:2
13.10.24	Crevillente Deportivo - Castellonense	2:2

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