Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Castellonense		Soneja

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.65	6.1
	1.52	3.65	6.53
	1.51	3.64	6.62	Watch
	1.53	3.4	6.5
	1.56	3.74	6.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.49)	3.62 ↑ (3.6)	6.4 ↓ (7.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellonense
60.3%

Draw
25.4%

Soneja
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

25.5%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

24.7%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Soneja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellonense than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Soneja than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Castellonense - Soneja Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Badal Andani C. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Badal Andani C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 11).

Castellonense is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Soneja has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Soneja may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Castellonense is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castellonense won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Castellonense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Soneja	5	1	1	3	5:9	-4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Castellonense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
15.03.26	Buñol - Castellonense	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Castellonense - Utiel	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Vall de Uxó - Castellonense	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Castellonense - Alzira	4:1 ✺
16.02.26	Español de San Vicente - Castellonense	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWTWW
- CD Soneja
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
15.03.26	Soneja - Ontinyent 1931	1:1 ✺
11.03.26	Soneja - Atlético Saguntino	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Villarreal C - Soneja	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Soneja - La Nucía	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Crevillente Deportivo - Soneja	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
09.11.25	Soneja - Castellonense	0:1
22.03.25	Castellonense - Soneja	0:2
22.01.25	Soneja - Castellonense	0:1
06.04.24	Soneja - Castellonense	1:1
19.11.23	Castellonense - Soneja	2:1

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