The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crewe Alexandra 49.9%
Draw 23.9%
Liverpool U21 26.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.1%
20.1%
14.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.2%
18.6%
16%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crewe Alexandra's form might have worsened.
Liverpool U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liverpool U21's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool U21 than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liverpool U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90%
0%
10%
Crewe Alexandra - Liverpool U21 Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool U21 (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Crewe Alexandra will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Waller S. (G) 30. Dancey S. 18. Connolly J. 22. Croker P. 14. Finney C. 19. Lunt O. (C) 34. Armstrong O. 15. Rankine D. 31. Moult L. 32. Moore L. 36. Tezgel E.
93. Mrozek F. (G) 47. Ramsay C. (C) 46. Williams R. 92. Lucky W. 88. Pitt L. 94. Laffey M. 71. Spearing J. 49. Gordon K. 70. Pilling T. 51. Doherty T. K. 82. Lambie J.
Substitutes
1. Booth T. (G) 35. Chadwick R. 16. Golding J. 27. Hodkin J. 37. Jones-Mellor A. 33. Scott I. 38. Swann L.
62. Bradshaw J. 69. Davidson J. 74. Misciur K. (G) 65. Nallo A. 99. Onanuga F. 57. Pinnington C. 91. Trueman B.
Coaches
Bell L.
Page R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
8', Laffey M. 🟨,
10', Mrozek F. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Tezgel E. (Pen),
30', 2 - 0, Rankine D. ⚽, Tezgel E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Spearing J. ↓, Trueman B. ↑,
46', Tezgel E. ↓, Hodkin J. ↑,
56', Lunt O. ↓, Chadwick R. ↑,
56', Finney C. ↓, Scott I. ↑,
56', Connolly J. ↓, Golding J. ↑,
56', Moult L. ↓, Swann L. ↑,
59', Moore L. 🟨,
62', Lambie J. ↓, Bradshaw J. ↑,
63', Williams R. ↓, Nallo A. ↑,
63', Laffey M. ↓, Onanuga F. ↑,
76', Scott I. 🟨,
89', Hodkin J. 🟨,
Preview
Crewe has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Liverpool U21 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Liverpool U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Liverpool U21 has had a series of away games.
In this match, Crewe is the obvious favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Crewe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.
Including home match between the teams, Crewe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.
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Waller S. (G) 
Connolly J. 
Mrozek F. (G) 
Ramsay C. (C) 
Doherty T. K. 
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