The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crewe Alexandra 40.4%
Draw 28.5%
Notts County 31%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.3%
27.1%
28.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.7%
28%
27.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Crewe Alexandra - Notts County Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 10 - 100%). Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 100% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Notts County will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Booth T. (G) 2. Billington L. 16. Golding J. 5. Demetriou M. (C) 14. Finney C. 6. Sanders M. H. 8. Thomas C. 26. O'Reilly T. 17. Holicek M. 20. Agius C. 24. March J.
1. Roos K. (G) 28. Macari L. 3. McDonald R. 4. Bedeau J. 25. Tsaroulla N. 20. Robertson S. 18. Palmer M. (C) 10. Jones J. 14. Iorpenda T. 26. Hall T. 29. Jatta A.
Substitutes
18. Connolly J. 7. Lankester J. 4. Mingi J. J. 31. Moult L. 15. Rankine D. 36. Tezgel E. 13. Waller S. (G)
23. Aljofree S. 37. Cotter B. 19. Dennis M. 21. Griffiths H. (G) 17. Kouhyar Q. 16. Luker J. 8. Norburn O.
Coaches
Bell L.
Paterson M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
1', Billington L. 🟨,
8', 1 - 0, Demetriou M. ⚽, Sanders M. H. (A),
36', Bedeau J. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Tsaroulla N. ⚽, Iorpenda T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Sanders M. H. 🟨,
57', Holicek M. 🟨,
64', Iorpenda T. ↓, Luker J. ↑,
65', Agius C. ↓, Lankester J. ↑,
72', Hall T. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
75', Thomas C. ↓, Tezgel E. ↑,
89', Holicek M. ↓, Connolly J. ↑,
89', Finney C. ↓, Mingi J. J. ↑,
90', Macari L. ↓, Aljofree S. ↑,
90', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Cotter B. ↑,
90+1', Cotter B. 🟨,
90+4', Roos K. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 1, March J. (Pen),
90+7', 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 4.
Crewe is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Notts County has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Crewe Alexandra - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 44.33%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.