Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 5

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday

Location: Estádio Heriberto Hülse (Criciúma)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Disney+


	Criciúma		Remo

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.7	5	Watch
	1.68	3.5	4.75
	1.71	3.6	4.8
	1.7	3.79	5.53
	1.67	3.61	5.29	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.8
	1.69	3.7	4.81	Watch
	1.71	3.6	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.6)	3.61 ↓ (4.1)	4.97 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma
55.2%

Draw
25.9%

Remo
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

22.8%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

23%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Remo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Remo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Criciúma - Remo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Remo will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Criciúma: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Remo will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kaua Moroso (G) 23. Leo Alaba 3. Rodrigo 4. Luciano Castan 22. Marcelo Hermes 5. Matheus Trindade 40. Everton Morelli 50. Juninho 77. Diego Goncalves 9. Neto Pessoa 11. Gabriel Novaes	88. Marcelo Rangel (G) 79. Marcelinho 4. Klaus 29. Reynaldo 16. Savio 34. Caio Vinicius 7. Giovanni Pavani 10. Jaderson 99. Janderson 33. Felipe Vizeu 32. Pedro Rocha
Substitutes
1. Alisson (G) 14. Benevenuto 20. Gabriel Barros 25. Guilherme Lobo 36. Heitor Roca 8. Hudson 10. Jhonata Robert 88. Luiz Henrique 6. Marcinho 34. Otusanya O. 99. Sassa 35. Ze Gabriel	15. Adailton 3. Camutanga 31. Dodo 14. Ivan Alvarino 30. Leo Lang (G) 5. Luan Martins 98. Madison 77. Maxwell 11. Pedro Castro 2. Pedro Costa 19. Ytalo
Coaches
Ze Ricardo	Daniel Paulista

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Rodrigo 🟨,
34', Marcelinho 🟨,
38', Giovanni Pavani 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Everton Morelli ⚽, Neto Pessoa (A),
64', Neto Pessoa ↓, Sassa ↑,
64', Gabriel Novaes ↓, Jhonata Robert ↑,
67', Everton Morelli 🟨,
69', Giovanni Pavani ↓, Pedro Castro ↑,
69', Felipe Vizeu ↓, Adailton ↑,
69', Marcelinho ↓, Pedro Costa ↑,
73', Juninho ↓, Guilherme Lobo ↑,
73', Everton Morelli ↓, Hudson ↑,
79', Klaus ↓, Ytalo ↑,
79', Janderson ↓, Maxwell ↑,
90+1', Leo Alaba ↓, Benevenuto ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Reynaldo ⚽, Savio (A),
90+7', Guilherme Lobo 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Criciúma is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Remo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Remo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Criciúma is a favorite.

There will not play in Criciúma: Fellipe Mateus (Inactive) Guilherme Lobo (Injury) Jonathan (Injury) Werik Popo (Red Card)

There will not play in Remo: Rodriguez Armoa A. F. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Criciúma: Caique (Inactive) Ze Gabriel (Inactive)

There are questionable in Remo: Caio Vinicius (Inactive) Dodo (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie B
21.04.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Criciúma - Athletic Club	4:0 ✺
10.04.25	Athletico Paranaense - Criciúma	2:1 ✺
04.04.25	Criciúma - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
11.03.25	Remo - Criciúma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWLLW
- Clube Do Remo
Brazilian Serie B
21.04.25	Remo - Coritiba	1:0 ✺
17.04.25	Botafogo SP - Remo	2:2 ✺
13.04.25	Remo - América Mineiro	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Ferroviária - Remo	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
02.04.25	Remo - Tuna Luso Brasileira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
11.03.25	Remo - Criciúma	1:2

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