The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Athletico Paranaense 53.3%
Draw 28%
Criciúma 18.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.7%
24.4%
15.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.7%
24%
15.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletico Paranaense's form might have worsened.
Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletico Paranaense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Athletico Paranaense - Criciúma Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Athletico PR (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Athletico Paranaense will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mycael (G) 18. Palacios H. 28. Habraao 3. Leo 6. Fernando 31. Raul 5. Felipinho 10. Zapelli B. 7. Velasco K. 27. Alan Kardec (C) 19. Luiz Fernando
12. Kaua Moroso (G) 23. Leo Alaba 3. Rodrigo (C) 4. Luciano Castan 22. Marcelo Hermes 5. Matheus Trindade 40. Everton Morelli 7. Fellipe Mateus 33. Talisson 45. Werik Popo 77. Diego Goncalves
Substitutes
45. Belezi 2. Dudu 37. Esquivel L. 98. Falcao 4. Figueiredo T. 8. Giuliano 11. Isaac 57. Joao Cruz 88. Patrick 70. Renan 23. Santos (G) 30. Tevis
73. Adriano Filho 1. Alisson (G) 14. Benevenuto 97. Caique (G) 20. Gabriel Barros 8. Hudson 10. Jhonata Robert 21. Joao Carlos 50. Juninho 88. Luiz Henrique 9. Neto Pessoa 80. Ruan
Coaches
Mauricio Barbieri
Ze Ricardo
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Alan Kardec ⚽, Palacios H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Rodrigo 🟨,
67', Alan Kardec ↓, Renan ↑,
67', Felipinho ↓, Patrick ↑,
68', Talisson ↓, Gabriel Barros ↑,
68', Matheus Trindade ↓, Hudson ↑,
68', Fellipe Mateus ↓, Juninho ↑,
75', Leo 🟨,
76', 1 - 1, Marcelo Hermes ⚽,
78', Velasco K. ↓, Isaac ↑,
78', Zapelli B. ↓, Giuliano ↑,
82', Patrick 🟨,
82', Luciano Castan 🟨,
84', 2 - 1, Palacios H. ⚽,
89', Everton Morelli ↓, Jhonata Robert ↑,
89', Werik Popo ↓, Neto Pessoa ↑,
90+2', Fernando ↓, Falcao ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 4.
Athletico PR is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Criciúma is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Athletico PR is a favorite.
There will not play in Athletico PR: Esquivel L.
(Injury)
Figueiredo T.
(Calf Injury)
There will not play in Criciúma: Guilherme Lobo
(Injury)
Jonathan
(Injury)
There are questionable in Athletico PR: Zapelli B.
(Injury)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:4 (average 1.1:0.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Athletico PR won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 1.6:0.4).
Brazil
World
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Mycael (G) 
Palacios H. 
Zapelli B. 
Figueiredo T. 
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