The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Criciúma 61.3%
Draw 24.3%
Hercílio Luz 14.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64%
23.1%
13%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.2%
22%
12.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Hercílio Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Criciúma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hercílio Luz than the current prediction. (-2%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gustavo (G) 4. Angel W. 2. Claudinho 23. Eder Citadin 15. Eliedson 19. Higor Meritao 22. Marcelo Hermes 10. Marquinhos Gabriel 11. Renato Kayzer 3. Rodrigo (C) 14. Trauco M.
1. Matheus Aurelio (G) 2. Alison Silva 7. Anderson Ligeiro 11. Carlos Renato 9. Danilo Mariotto 6. Guilherme Lazaroni 3. Igor Silva (C) 10. Ingro 5. Jean Martim 8. Jonathan Cabeca 4. Leo Rigo
Substitutes
17. Adriano Filho 12. Alisson (G) 20. Candelo Y. 18. Eduardo Melo 6. Erick Garcia 9. Felipe Vizeu 7. Fellipe Mateus 16. Figueiredo T. 5. Guilherme 8. Gustavo Barreto 21. Joao Carlos 13. Jonathan
19. Clayton 18. Dudu T. 15. Eliel 12. Joao Vitor (G) 17. Keverton 13. Luis Gustavo 16. Paulinho 21. Tallyson 23. Vinicius Tanque 20. Vitinho 14. Wallace
Coaches
Claudio Tencati
Lopes A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
23', Anderson Ligeiro ⚽,
29', Eder Citadin ⚽,
40', Renato Kayzer ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Jonathan Cabeca 🟨,
60', Jean Martim ↓, Paulinho ↑,
64', Marquinhos Gabriel ↓, Fellipe Mateus ↑,
65', Eder Citadin ↓, Felipe Vizeu ↑,
69', Danilo Mariotto ↓, Vinicius Tanque ↑,
69', Anderson Ligeiro ↓, Vitinho ↑,
70', Ingro ↓, Clayton ↑,
75', Vitinho 🟨,
81', Guilherme Lazaroni ↓, Keverton ↑,
84', Claudinho ↓, Jonathan ↑,
84', Eliedson ↓, Gustavo Barreto ↑,
88', Paulinho 🟨,
90+1', Renato Kayzer ↓, Adriano Filho ↑,
90+7', Clayton (Pen),
Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 2.
Criciúma is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recent matches Hercílio Luz is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Hercílio Luz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Criciúma have a series of guest games.
In this match Criciúma is indisputable favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Criciúma won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.
Watch
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Gustavo (G) 
Angel W. 
Eder Citadin 
Trauco M. 
Candelo Y. 
Figueiredo T. 
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