Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 16

Date: 16 June 2026, Tuesday


	Criciúma U20		Palmeiras U20

	1	X	2
	4.20	3.80	1.62
	4.30	3.70	1.62
	4.86	4.49	1.63
	4.25	4.44	1.6	Watch
	4.40	3.70	1.62
	4.62	3.90	1.65
	4.1	3.5	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.39 ↑ (4.2)	3.93 ↑ (3.6)	1.62 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma U20
20.7%

Draw
23.1%

Palmeiras U20
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

24.7%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

24.1%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Palmeiras U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

The ML Model estimate for Criciúma U20 aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras U20 than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Criciúma U20 - Palmeiras U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
37', 0 - 1, Felipe Teresa ⚽,
43', Thiago Pimenta 🟥,
44', 0 - 2, Felipe Teresa ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
52', 0 - 3, Joao Paulo ⚽,
73', 0 - 4, Victor Gabriel ⚽,
75', 0 - 5, Victor Gabriel ⚽,
82', 0 - 6, Antonio ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Criciúma U20 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Palmeiras U20 is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Criciúma U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Palmeiras U20 is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma U20
Brazilian Catarinense U20
13.06.26	Figueirense U20 - Criciúma U20	0:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
10.06.26	Botafogo RJ U20 - Criciúma U20	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Catarinense U20
05.06.26	Criciúma U20 - Joinville U20	3:0 ✺
02.06.26	Brusque U20 - Criciúma U20	0:4 ✺
Brasileiro U20
27.05.26	Criciúma U20 - Bahia U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWT
- Palmeiras U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
13.06.26	Palmeiras U20 - Grêmio Osasco Audax U20	2:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
11.06.26	Palmeiras U20 - Santos U20	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
04.06.26	Grêmio Prudente U20 - Palmeiras U20	0:2 ✺
Brasileiro U20
27.05.26	Fortaleza U20 - Palmeiras U20	1:2 ✺
19.05.26	Corinthians U20 - Palmeiras U20	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTWWW

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