The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Figueirense U20 25%
Draw 26.5%
Criciúma U20 48.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.4%
26.9%
41.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.5%
26.1%
42.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Figueirense U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Figueirense U20's form might have worsened.
Criciúma U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Criciúma U20's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Figueirense U20 than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Figueirense U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma U20 than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Criciúma U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Figueirense U20 - Criciúma U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense U20 (Play Offs: Semi~finals))
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Figueirense U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Figueirense U20 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.8:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Figueirense U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).