The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Criciúma U20 30.6%
Draw 26.4%
Bahia U20 43%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.2%
26.4%
45.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.2%
24.5%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Criciúma U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Bahia U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma U20 than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia U20 than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bahia U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Criciúma U20 - Bahia U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Joao Coni ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 1, Wendel Passos (Own goal),
88', 🟥,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Criciúma U20 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Bahia U20 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Bahia U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Bahia U20 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
The teams have not played against each other recently.