Match Info

Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ezio Scida (Crotone)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251
World	FIFA+


	Crotone		Vicenza Virtus

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.5
	2.6	3.05	2.7
	2.61	2.99	2.88
	2.67	3	2.81
	2.58	3.22	2.8
	2.6	3.05	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.63)	3.05 ↑ (3)	2.73 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crotone
35.7%

Draw
30.4%

Vicenza Virtus
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

30.5%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

30.2%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Vicenza Virtus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Crotone - Vicenza Virtus Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Crotone will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Vicenza will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Crotone (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. D'Alterio F. (G) 18. Guerini A. 5. Cargnelutti R. 6. Di Pasquale D. 3. Giron M. 15. Vinicius 16. Gallo A. 20. Ricci F. 93. Tumminello M. 10. Vitale M. 11. Murano J.	98. Confente A. (G) 14. Cuomo G. 6. Leverbe M. 23. Laezza G. 26. De Col F. 29. Zonta L. 4. Carraro M. 8. Della L. S. 32. Costa F. 7. Rauti N. 90. Morra C.
Substitutes
13. Armini N. 21. Barberis A. 19. Cantisani R. 25. Cocetta N. 9. Gomez G. 23. Groppelli F. 12. Martino A. P. (G) 7. Oviszach E. 2. Piras M. 33. Rispoli A. 1. Sassi J. (G) 38. Schiro T. 41. Silva J. 8. Stronati R. 77. Vilardi M.	13. Beghetto A. 99. Della Morte M. 76. Fantoni N. 9. Ferrari F. 12. Gallo E. (G) 21. Garnero M. 1. Massolo S. (G) 10. Ronaldo 73. Sandon T. 44. Talarico R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Leverbe M. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Leverbe M. ⚽,
45+3', Di Pasquale D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Di Pasquale D. ↓, Armini N. ↑,
50', D'Alterio F. 🟨,
54', Cargnelutti R. 🟨,
55', Ricci F. ↓, Gomez G. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Murano J. ⚽,
69', Gallo A. ↓, Stronati R. ↑,
70', Cuomo G. ↓, Sandon T. ↑,
70', Morra C. ↓, Ferrari F. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, De Col F. ⚽,
74', Ferrari F. 🟨,
76', Carraro M. ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
76', Rauti N. ↓, Della Morte M. ↑,
85', Guerini A. ↓, Cocetta N. ↑,
85', Giron M. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
87', Costa F. ↓, Beghetto A. ↑,
90+1', Cargnelutti R. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Vicenza Virtus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Crotone won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Crotone won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Crotone - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.76%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Crotone
Italian Serie C Group A
14.05.25	FeralpiSalò - Crotone	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Crotone - FeralpiSalò	3:1 ✺
07.05.25	Crotone - Juventus U23	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
19.04.25	Casertana - Crotone	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Crotone - Foggia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTLW
- Vicenza Virtus
Italian Serie C Group A
25.04.25	Trento - Vicenza Virtus	3:1 ✺
18.04.25	Vicenza Virtus - Triestina	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Virtus Verona - Vicenza Virtus	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Vicenza Virtus - Union Clodiense	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Pro Vercelli - Vicenza Virtus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
06.04.22	Vicenza Virtus - Crotone	1:1
26.11.21	Crotone - Vicenza Virtus	0:1

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