Match Info

Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Alberto Pinto (Caserta)


	Casertana		Crotone

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.58	3.05	2.62
	2.57	3.11	2.91
	2.65	3.01	2.65	Watch
	2.45	2.8	2.7
	2.5	3.16	2.75
	2.5	3.15	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.54)	3.05 ↓ (3.1)	2.73 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casertana
36.2%

Draw
30.2%

Crotone
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

29.5%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

29.5%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	83.3%	16.7%

Casertana - Crotone Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Crotone will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. De Lucia V. (G) 6. Heinz J. 33. Rocchi G. 23. Martino P. 18. Oukhadda S. 21. Girelli S. 25. Toscano M. 99. Saco C. 5. Llano Massa M. T. 90. Casarotto M. 7. Butic K.	1. Merelli D. (G) 35. Novella M. 13. Armini N. 72. Cocetta N. 23. Groppelli F. 80. Bruno K. 7. Vinicius 21. Sandri M. 27. Maggio M. 9. Gomez G. 96. Zunno M.
Substitutes
51. Arzillo V. 13. Bacchetti L. 20. Bentivegna A. 11. Galletta U. 9. Kallon Y. 4. Kontek I. 10. Leone K. 94. Liotti D. 12. Merolla E. (G) 16. Pezzella S. 8. Proia F. 91. Vano M. 22. Vilardi A. (G) 17. Viscardi A.	32. Calvano S. 11. Energe A. 16. Gallo A. 25. Guerra W. 14. Meli M. 10. Musso A. 76. Paciotti G. (G) 12. Pio Martino A. (G) 18. Piovanello E. 17. Russo D. 63. Veltri A. 77. Vrenna M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Maggio M. ⚽,
39', Llano Massa M. T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gomez G. ↓, Musso A. ↑,
46', Sandri M. ↓, Gallo A. ↑,
46', Saco C. ↓, Bentivegna A. ↑,
54', Llano Massa M. T. ↓, Liotti D. ↑,
54', Casarotto M. ↓, Kallon Y. ↑,
61', Maggio M. ↓, Meli M. ↑,
61', Bruno K. ↓, Veltri A. ↑,
63', Martino P. ↓, Vano M. ↑,
71', Rocchi G. 🟨,
77', 1 - 1, Vano M. ⚽,
80', Novella M. ↓, Russo D. ↑,
80', Butic K. ↓, Bacchetti L. ↑,

Preview

In case of a draw home team advances.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 3.

Casertana is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Crotone has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.4:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Casertana won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Crotone - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.35%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group A
03.05.26	Casertana - Atalanta U23	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
26.04.26	Casertana - Giugliano	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Latina - Casertana	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Casertana - Audace Cerignola	4:1 ✺
04.04.26	Cavese - Casertana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTLWW
- FC Crotone
Italian Serie C Group A
03.05.26	Crotone - Audace Cerignola	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
26.04.26	Crotone - Latina	2:5 ✺
19.04.26	Casarano - Crotone	1:2 ✺
13.04.26	Crotone - Catania	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Giugliano - Crotone	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
10.02.26	Casertana - Crotone	2:2
28.09.25	Crotone - Casertana	0:1
19.04.25	Casertana - Crotone	2:0
08.12.24	Crotone - Casertana	2:3
25.03.24	Crotone - Casertana	0:0
18.11.23	Casertana - Crotone	1:1
Coppa Italia
17.08.14	Crotone - Casertana	0:1 penalties

Casertana - Crotone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide