Match Info

Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Angelo Massimino (Catania)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251


	Crotone		Juventus U23

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.6	3.9
	1.87	3.8	3.55
	1.93	3.92	3.42
	1.92	3.89	3.49	Watch
	1.91	3.84	3.72
	1.87	3.8	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.6)	3.81 ↓ (3.85)	3.61 ↓ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crotone
49.8%

Draw
24.4%

Juventus U23
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

23.9%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

24.4%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crotone's form might have worsened.

Juventus U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juventus U23's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crotone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventus U23 than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juventus U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Crotone - Juventus U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Crotone will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Juventus U23 will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Crotone (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Juventus U23 (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. D'Alterio F. (G) 18. Guerini A. 5. Cargnelutti R. 6. Di Pasquale D. 3. Giron M. 16. Gallo A. 15. Vinicius 20. Ricci F. 93. Tumminello M. 10. Vitale M. 9. Gomez G.	30. Daffara G. (G) 26. Gil J. 23. Scaglia F. 46. Turicchia R. 6. Comenencia L. 73. Faticanti G. 5. Macca F. 99. Pietrelli A. 11. Cudrig N. 3. Afena-Gyan F. 17. Guerra S.
Substitutes
13. Armini N. 21. Barberis A. 19. Cantisani R. 25. Cocetta N. 23. Groppelli F. 12. Martino A. P. (G) 11. Murano J. 7. Oviszach E. 2. Piras M. 33. Rispoli A. 1. Sassi J. (G) 38. Schiro T. 41. Silva J. 8. Stronati R. 77. Vilardi M.	16. Amaradio L. 10. Anghele L. 24. Citi A. 44. Deme S. 1. Garofani G. (G) 9. Mancini T. 28. Owusu A. 74. Papadopoulos C. 13. Poli F. 31. Puczka D. 77. Quattrocchi G. 25. Scaglia S. (G) 79. Semedo L. 34. Turco S. 40. Villa L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Faticanti G. 🟨,
22', Cargnelutti R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Macca F. 🟨,
63', Giron M. ↓, Groppelli F. ↑,
63', Ricci F. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
64', Gil J. ↓, Turco S. ↑,
71', Cudrig N. ↓, Mancini T. ↑,
71', Mancini T. 🟨,
72', Vinicius 🟨,
73', Comenencia L. 🟨,
83', Afena-Gyan F. ↓, Deme S. ↑,
83', Comenencia L. ↓, Anghele L. ↑,
83', Tumminello M. ↓, Murano J. ↑,
83', Gomez G. ↓, Stronati R. ↑,
88', Guerini A. 🟨,
90+4', Gallo A. ↓, Schiro T. ↑,

Preview

In case of a draw home team advances.

Crotone has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Juventus U23 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Crotone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Crotone is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Crotone won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Crotone won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Crotone
Italian Serie C Group C
19.04.25	Casertana - Crotone	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Crotone - Foggia	3:2 ✺
05.04.25	Juventus U23 - Crotone	4:1 ✺
29.03.25	Crotone - Latina	4:0 ✺
23.03.25	Catania - Crotone	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLWT
- Juventus U23
Italian Serie C Group A
04.05.25	Benevento - Juventus U23	1:5 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
27.04.25	ACR Messina - Juventus U23	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Juventus U23 - Cavese	3:1 ✺
05.04.25	Juventus U23 - Crotone	4:1 ✺
22.03.25	Juventus U23 - Foggia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
05.04.25	Juventus U23 - Crotone	4:1
24.11.24	Crotone - Juventus U23	2:1

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