The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crown Legacy 40.7%
Draw 24%
New York Red Bulls 2 35.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.6%
23.6%
33.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.1%
23.3%
33.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crown Legacy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
New York Red Bulls 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crown Legacy than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Crown Legacy - New York Red Bulls 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Wickham J. A. (G) 35. Cleary W. 39. Neeley J. 34. Johnson A. 24. Thomas M. 58. Longo D. 20. Coulibaly B. 89. Mendoza A. 83. Mbongue H. 71. Richmond N. 91. Smalls M.
72. Szewczyk T. (G) 36. Dieujuste L. 49. Munson J. 45. Faello C. 94. Baitinger S. 61. Cadigan D. 80. Worth N. 5. Valencia O. 88. Castro P. 92. Nelich D. 91. Jimenez M.
Substitutes
77. Barnett T. 32. Blama B. 86. Brown D. 68. Gonzalez C. 63. Holt W. 53. Philpot J. (G) 41. Romero B. 45. Smith J. 79. Ventura S.
55. Causey A. (G) 89. Gallagher C. 52. Modelo A. 79. Mosquera R. 83. Rodriguez B. 70. Rojas A. 66. Rosborough T. 62. Sokoloff P. 67. Wender K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Richmond N. ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, Mendoza A. ⚽,
33', Dieujuste L. 🟨,
33', Mendoza A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Nelich D. ↓, Mosquera R. ↑,
46', Valencia O. ↓, Wender K. ↑,
47', Wender K. 🟨,
53', Castro P. ↓, Rosborough T. ↑,
61', Smalls M. ↓, Barnett T. ↑,
63', Worth N. ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,
75', Cleary W. ↓, Holt W. ↑,
75', Mendoza A. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
77', Faello C. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Rosborough T. ⚽,
88', Longo D. ↓, Ventura S. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1st in the Promotion - MLS Next Pro Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 8th in the Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play - in: )).
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Crown Legacy could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Crown Legacy has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 13:8 (averaging 2.6:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Crown Legacy against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:7 goals (averaging 2:2.3 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Crown Legacy - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 42.64%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.