Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL South Australia - Round 19

Date: 20 July 2024, Saturday


	Croydon		South Adelaide Panthers

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.6	4.75
	1.47	4.5	5	Watch
	1.5	5.09	5.05
	1.53	4.89	4.8	Watch
	1.44	5	4.8
	1.45	4.85	4.93	Watch
	1.48	4.8	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.64)	4.82 ↑ (4.3)	4.85 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Croydon
62%

Draw
19.1%

South Adelaide Panthers
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

21.3%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

20.7%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Croydon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Croydon's performance.

South Adelaide Panthers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Croydon than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Croydon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Adelaide Panthers than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Croydon - South Adelaide Panthers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, ⚽,
41', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
59', 3 - 2, ⚽,
63', 3 - 3, ⚽,
66', 4 - 3, ⚽,
90+5', 5 - 3, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Croydon FC Australia
Australian NPL South Australian
13.07.24	Adelaide Olympic - Croydon	4:1 ✺
29.06.24	Croydon - North Eastern MetroStars	2:3 ✺
22.06.24	Croydon - Para Hills Knights	2:1 ✺
15.06.24	Adelaide United U23 - Croydon	3:4 ✺
08.06.24	Croydon - Modbury Jets	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWWL
- South Adelaide Panthers
Australian NPL South Australian
13.07.24	South Adelaide Panthers - Adelaide United U23	2:4 ✺
29.06.24	Modbury Jets - South Adelaide Panthers	3:3 ✺
21.06.24	South Adelaide Panthers - Campbelltown City	2:2 ✺
15.06.24	Adelaide Croatia Raiders - South Adelaide Panthers	1:3 ✺
07.06.24	South Adelaide Panthers - FK Beograd	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.7 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL South Australian
26.04.24	South Adelaide Panthers - Croydon	2:2
15.07.23	South Adelaide Panthers - Croydon	3:3
25.04.23	Croydon - South Adelaide Panthers	3:1
23.07.22	South Adelaide Panthers - Croydon	1:3
22.04.22	Croydon - South Adelaide Panthers	1:1
21.08.21	South Adelaide Panthers - Croydon	1:2
04.06.21	Croydon - South Adelaide Panthers	1:2

Croydon - South Adelaide Panthers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide