Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 16

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: 17 De Octubre (Formosa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	General San Martín de Formosa		Juventud Antoniana

	1	X	2
	2.00	2.95	3.40
	1.98	3	3.7
	1.92	3.06	4.14
	2.2	2.97	3.59	Watch
	1.84	3	4
	1.91	3.1	4.47
	1.96	3	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.66)	3.01 ↓ (3.29)	3.85 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

General San Martín de Formosa
46.1%

Draw
30.2%

Juventud Antoniana
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

27.5%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

27.1%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

General San Martín de Formosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that General San Martín de Formosa's form might have worsened.

Juventud Antoniana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juventud Antoniana's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for General San Martín de Formosa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud Antoniana than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juventud Antoniana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

General San Martín de Formosa - Juventud Antoniana Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. San Martín Formosa will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Humeler K. (G) 11. Alegre G. 5. Bobadilla M. 7. Ceratto L. 4. Finardi B. 3. Griego A. 6. Leiva D. 10. Nunez G. 2. Piris O. 9. Siergiejuk M. 8. Tapia R.	1. Abraham F. (G) 6. Fernandez F. 4. Gomez N. 11. Iturrieta 10. Martinez A. 2. Monti I. 9. Mune P. 8. Palacios J. 3. Sanabria I. 5. Vargas M. 7. Vicedo M.
Substitutes
16. Aquino A. 17. Asatt N. 14. Cuevas E. 15. Illanes Machuca F. 19. Ledesma R. 18. Monin F. 12. Morichi P. (G) 20. Riquelme R. 13. Velazco L.	17. Arganaraz A. 14. Belizan L. 16. Costilla A. 15. Flores P. 19. Gonzalez N. 18. Marchiori 13. Morinigo 12. Nadal J. (G) 20. Palacios Alvarenga P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', 🟨,
38', 🟨,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
76', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
88', 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 6 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martín Formosa won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Juventud Antoniana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, San Martín Formosa is a strong favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, San Martín Formosa won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:9. (average 1.2:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, San Martín Formosa won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:0. (average 1.7:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- General San Martín de Formosa
Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.06.26	Sol de América de Formosa - General San Martín de Formosa	2:1 ✺
21.06.26	General San Martín de Formosa - Sarmiento de Resistencia	3:0 ✺
14.06.26	Boca Unidos - General San Martín de Formosa	3:1 ✺
07.06.26	General San Martín de Formosa - Tucuman Central	3:2 ✺
25.05.26	Defensores de Vilelas - General San Martín de Formosa	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLWW
- Juventud Antoniana
Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.06.26	Juventud Antoniana - Defensores de Vilelas	4:0 ✺
20.06.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Juventud Antoniana	0:0 ✺
12.06.26	Juventud Antoniana - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:1 ✺
31.05.26	Sol de América de Formosa - Juventud Antoniana	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Juventud Antoniana - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.05.26	Juventud Antoniana - General San Martín de Formosa	0:3
17.08.25	Juventud Antoniana - General San Martín de Formosa	1:1
27.06.25	Juventud Antoniana - General San Martín de Formosa	1:1
26.04.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Juventud Antoniana	0:0
09.06.24	General San Martín de Formosa - Juventud Antoniana	2:0
14.04.24	Juventud Antoniana - General San Martín de Formosa	1:0
03.09.23	General San Martín de Formosa - Juventud Antoniana	3:0

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