Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 3

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Seaview (Belfast)

Referee: Boyce E. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Nifl TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Crusaders		Portadown

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.40	2.75
	2.28	3.3	2.75
	2.41	3.5	2.89
	2.32	3.41	2.75	Watch
	2.25	3.45	2.95
	2.34	3.43	2.86
	2.31	3.25	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.52)	3.39 ↑ (3.26)	2.82 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crusaders
40%

Draw
27.2%

Portadown
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

28.2%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

27%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crusaders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Portadown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portadown than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Crusaders - Portadown Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Callister S. (G) 4. Blaney J. 9. Brooks A. 12. Doherty J. 11. Dunlop E. 2. Forsythe K. 8. Jewitt-White H. 3. Kelly G. 22. McKay R. 15. Wardell O. 6. Weir R.	1. McCarey A. (G) 4. Altintop B. 12. Breen R. 3. Carson M. 34. Flanagan F. 10. Fyfe E. 23. Hewitt M. 28. Kennedy B. 5. MacKinnon L. 22. Scott J. 19. Teelan J.
Substitutes
42. Anderson L. 43. Barr L. 31. Brown R. (G) 7. McKechnie K. 18. Reid A. 14. Rocks D. 5. Rough S.	33. Barry J. (G) 7. Chapman L. 9. Falls C. 48. Martins D. 6. Minzamba R. 17. O'Mahoney S. 14. Wells B.
Coaches
Caddell D.	Jeffrey D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Brooks A. ⚽,
21', Flanagan F. 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Brooks A. ⚽,
39', Flanagan F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Carson M. ↓, Minzamba R. ↑,
55', 2 - 1, Altintop B. ⚽,
57', 3 - 1, Brooks A. ⚽,
59', 3 - 2, Fyfe E. ⚽,
64', Scott J. ↓, Martins D. ↑,
74', Brooks A. ↓, Reid A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 2.

Crusaders has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Portadown has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Crusaders may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Portadown has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 39:24. (average 2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Crusaders won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:10. (average 2.7:1.1).

Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now

Portadown: 0.84% Crusaders: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Crusaders	10	5	0	5	15:18	-3	15
12	Portadown	10	1	1	8	8:20	-12	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crusaders FC
Northern Irish Premiership
15.08.26	Crusaders - Ballymena United	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	Cliftonville - Crusaders	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Crusaders - Dundela	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Crusaders - Newington	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Moyola Park - Crusaders	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWTL
- Portadown
Northern Irish Premiership
15.08.26	Portadown - Dungannon Swifts	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	Carrick Rangers - Portadown	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.07.26	Harland & Wolff Welders - Portadown	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Coleraine - Portadown	3:0 ✺
07.07.26	Bourneview Mill - Portadown	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
11.04.26	Crusaders - Portadown	4:0
21.03.26	Portadown - Crusaders	0:0
06.12.25	Crusaders - Portadown	0:4
29.08.25	Portadown - Crusaders	2:1
25.01.25	Crusaders - Portadown	3:2
21.12.24	Portadown - Crusaders	1:0
21.09.24	Crusaders - Portadown	0:3

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