The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cruzeiro U20 59.1%
Draw 23.8%
Athletic Club U20 17.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.6%
23.2%
19.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.3%
22.5%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Athletic Club U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro U20 than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club U20 than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Cruzeiro U20 - Athletic Club U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 2 - 0, ⚽,
72', 🟥,
73', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 1-2.
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Mineiro U20 Playoffs - Semi - finals and 4th in the Promotion - Mineiro U20 Playoffs - Semi - finals).
Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.
Recently, Cruzeiro U20 has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
In this matchup, Cruzeiro U20 is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Cruzeiro U20 in today's match, at odds of 1.61.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Cruzeiro U20 has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 13:5 (averaging 2.6:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cruzeiro U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 12:3 goals (averaging 3:0.8 per game).
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