Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 17

Date: 8 July 2025, Tuesday


	Cruzeiro U20		Fluminense U20

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.5	4.05
	1.72	3.77	4.51
				Watch
	1.65	3.7	4.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.84)	3.66 ↑ (3.47)	4.36 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro U20
54%

Draw
25%

Fluminense U20
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26.4%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

25.5%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Fluminense U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro U20 than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense U20 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Lelis R. ⚽,
8', 2 - 0, Lelis R. ⚽,
28', 3 - 0, Kaiquy ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro U20 won 3.

Cruzeiro U20 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fluminense U20 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cruzeiro U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cruzeiro U20 is the team to beat.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro U20 won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.8:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro U20 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Cruzeiro U20 - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 49.77%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro U20
Brazilian Mineiro U20
05.07.25	Uberaba U20 - Cruzeiro U20	2:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
02.07.25	Bahia U20 - Cruzeiro U20	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Mineiro U20
28.06.25	Cruzeiro U20 - Villa Real U20	2:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
25.06.25	Cruzeiro U20 - Atletico GO U20	4:1 ✺
19.06.25	Internacional U20 - Cruzeiro U20	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWWW
- Fluminense U20
Brasileiro U20
02.07.25	Fluminense U20 - Atletico GO U20	3:0 ✺
25.06.25	Fluminense U20 - Cuiabá U20	2:1 ✺
17.06.25	Vasco da Gama U20 - Fluminense U20	1:0 ✺
11.06.25	Fluminense U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	1:0 ✺
28.05.25	Bahia U20 - Fluminense U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
03.04.24	Cruzeiro U20 - Fluminense U20	3:1
Copa do Brasil U20
09.10.23	Cruzeiro U20 - Fluminense U20	2:2
01.10.23	Fluminense U20 - Cruzeiro U20	2:3
10.10.22	Cruzeiro U20 - Fluminense U20	3:0 penalties
04.10.22	Fluminense U20 - Cruzeiro U20	4:2
Brasileiro U20
19.09.21	Cruzeiro U20 - Fluminense U20	2:1
14.10.20	Fluminense U20 - Cruzeiro U20	5:1

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