Match Info

Date: 16 September 2021, Thursday


	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade		Braga

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.8
	2	3.4	3.9
	2.05	3.45	3.85
	2.03	3.3	3.65
	2.06	3.46	3.86
	2.05	3.3	3.75
	2.07	3.52	3.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.24)	3.4 ↓ (3.53)	3.81 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
46.9%

Draw
28.1%

Braga
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

26.9%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

18.5%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Braga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-17.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crvena Zvezda Belgrade that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+19.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Braga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.4%	23.1%	20.5%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Braga Predictions

Users Predictions: 78 users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 44 - 56.4%). Braga will win (votes: 16 - 20.5%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crvena Zvezda: 45.4% – 67.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Crvena Zvezda has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (22%), has a chance of 2nd (27%), has a chance of 3rd (31%), has a chance of round of 16 (29%), has a small chance of qtrs (8%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Braga has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (39%), has a chance of 2nd (30%), has a chance of 3rd (21%), has a chance of round of 16 (49%), has a chance of qtrs (17%), has a small chance of semis (6%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Crvena Zvezda in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Braga is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Crvena Zvezda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Crvena Zvezda will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Serbian Superliga
11.09.21	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Proleter Novi Sad	3:0 ✺
29.08.21	Čukarički - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.08.21	CFR Cluj - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:2 ✺
Serbian Superliga
21.08.21	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Bačka Topola	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.08.21	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - CFR Cluj	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWW
- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
11.09.21	Paços de Ferreira - Braga	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.09.21	Villarreal - Braga	2:3 ✺
Liga Portugal
29.08.21	Braga - Vitoria Guimarães	0:0 ✺
20.08.21	Moreirense - Braga	2:3 ✺
14.08.21	Braga - Sporting Lisbon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWTWL

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