Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 17

Date: 21 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio da Capital do Móvel (Paços de Ferreira)

Referee: Pereira C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Paços de Ferreira		Braga

	1	X	2
	7	4.75	1.36	Watch
	7.75	4.8	1.36
	8.5	4.75	1.33
	7.8	4.8	1.37
	9.49	5.11	1.37
	9	4.5	1.35
	8.4	4.85	1.36	Watch
	8	4.9	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.24 ↑ (6.55)	4.81 ↑ (4.3)	1.36 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paços de Ferreira
11.4%

Draw
19.5%

Braga
69.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.2%

21.6%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.9%	6.9%	86.2%

Paços de Ferreira - Braga Predictions

Users Predictions: Braga will win (25 of 29 users predict this - 86.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.66% – 98.76%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage)).

Paços de Ferreira has the most likely position - 18 (68.41%), has project points - 22, has currently - 6, has a good chance of relegated (91%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Braga has the most likely position - 3 (46.84%), has project points - 71, has currently - 37, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (74%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

This event has quality 48, importance 38, match rating 43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 0.

Recent matches Paços de Ferreira is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Braga is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Paços de Ferreira have a series of guest games.

In this match Braga is certain favorite.

There will not play in Paços de Ferreira: Ibrahim A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Braga: Niakate S. (Injury)

Last 25 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 26-41.

Including matches at home between the teams Paços de Ferreira won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-21.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paços de Ferreira
Liga Portugal
14.01.23	Rio Ave - Paços de Ferreira	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Paços de Ferreira - Chaves	1:1 ✺
29.12.22	Sporting Lisbon - Paços de Ferreira	3:0 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
11.12.22	Braga - Paços de Ferreira	2:0 ✺
03.12.22	Trofense - Paços de Ferreira	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTLLT
- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
14.01.23	Braga - Boavista	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
11.01.23	Braga - Vitoria Guimarães	3:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
05.01.23	Santa Clara - Braga	0:4 ✺
30.12.22	Braga - Benfica	3:0 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
19.12.22	Sporting Lisbon - Braga	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese League Cup
11.12.22	Braga - Paços de Ferreira	2:0
Liga Portugal
12.02.22	Braga - Paços de Ferreira	2:1
Portuguese League Cup
28.10.21	Braga - Paços de Ferreira	0:0
Liga Portugal
11.09.21	Paços de Ferreira - Braga	0:0
Club Friendly
24.07.21	Braga - Paços de Ferreira	2:1
Liga Portugal
05.05.21	Braga - Paços de Ferreira	1:1
16.01.21	Paços de Ferreira - Braga	2:0

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