The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Braga 54.3%
Draw 26.6%
Famalicão 19.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.4%
27.9%
23.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
28.1%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Braga's performance.
Famalicão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Braga that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (+4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Braga - Famalicão Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Braga will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Bernardo (G) 14. Lagerbielke G. 22. Sergio Barcia 26. Arrey-Mbi B. 2. Gomez V. 8. Moutinho J. 34. Tiknaz D. E. 77. Martinez G. 10. Victor P. 21. Horta R. (C) 9. Navarro F.
22. Gabriel Cabral (G) 17. Pinheiro R. 3. Realpe L. 15. Rofino V. G. 28. Pedro Bondo 8. Pena M. 14. De Amorim M. 23. Gil Dias (C) 10. Santos P. 11. Aranda O. 70. Koutsias G.
Substitutes
44. Bajrami A. 37. Barisic A. 98. Costa F. 20. Dorgeles M. 29. Gorby 16. Marques T. 17. Milosevic J. 50. Rodrigues D. 12. Sa T. (G) 7. Travassos 6. Vitor Carvalho 19. Wind J.
9. Abubakar U. 18. Beney R. 72. Correia J. 2. Garcia 19. Moreira P. 33. Salas P. 30. Serafimovic V. 7. Sorriso 21. Szucs T. 4. van Breemen F. 6. Van de Looi T. 1. Zlobin I. (G)
Coaches
Carvalho F.
Ricardo
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
9', Lagerbielke G. 🟨,
11', Sergio Barcia 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Koutsias G. ⚽, Pena M. (A),
27', De Amorim M. ↓, Moreira P. ↑,
35', Koutsias G. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Horta R. (Penalty Awarded),
45+4', 1 - 2, Koutsias G. (Penalty Awarded),
45+5', Victor P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lagerbielke G. ↓, Barisic A. ↑,
63', Koutsias G. ↓, Abubakar U. ↑,
63', Pedro Bondo ↓, Garcia ↑,
63', Sergio Barcia ↓, Travassos ↑,
64', Martinez G. ↓, Costa F. ↑,
73', Santos P. ↓, Szucs T. ↑,
73', Aranda O. ↓, Sorriso ↑,
73', Tiknaz D. E. ↓, Wind J. ↑,
77', Navarro F. ↓, Dorgeles M. ↑,
85', Costa F. 🟨,
87', Gabriel Cabral 🟨,
89', 2 - 2, Horta R. (Penalty Awarded),
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, Gil Dias (Penalty Awarded),
1, Horta R. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Pena M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Moutinho J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Sorriso (Penalty Awarded),
3, Wind J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Szucs T. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Dorgeles M. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Moreira P. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braga won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Braga (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Famalicão have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Braga may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Braga is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Braga has recorded 6 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:21 (averaging 1.9:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Braga against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 15:12 goals (averaging 2.1:1.7 per game).
Africa
Argentina
Chile
Ecuador
Egypt
Norway
Peru
South America
Uruguay
Venezuela
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Bernardo (G) 
Lagerbielke G. 
Sergio Barcia 
Arrey-Mbi B. 
Moutinho J. 
Tiknaz D. E. 
Realpe L. 
Rofino V. G. 
Pedro Bondo 
Koutsias G. 
Bajrami A. 
Barisic A. 
Dorgeles M. 
Gorby 
Milosevic J. 
Wind J. 
Abubakar U. 
Salas P. 
Szucs T. 
van Breemen F. 
Zlobin I. (G) 
Ricardo 
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