Match Info

Date: 17 March 2022, Thursday


	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade		Glasgow Rangers

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	3.25
	2.05	3.5	3.5
	2.1	3.55	3.55
	2.05	3.5	3.5
	2.22	3.45	3.48
	2	3.5	3.6
	2.2	3.64	3.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.3)	3.52 ↑ (3.4)	3.47 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
45.3%

Draw
27.1%

Glasgow Rangers
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

27.7%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

20.2%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Glasgow Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Glasgow Rangers than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.7%	24.7%	17.5%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Glasgow Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: 97 users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 56 - 57.7%). Rangers will win (votes: 17 - 17.5%). It will Tie (votes: 24 - 24.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crvena Zvezda: 47.9% – 67.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg.

Crvena Zvezda was already of round of 16, has a very small chance of qtrs (3%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 59, importance 31, match rating 45. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Crvena Zvezda is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rangers in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rangers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Crvena Zvezda will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Crvena Zvezda won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Serbian Superliga
14.03.22	Metalac - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
10.03.22	Glasgow Rangers - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	3:0 ✺
Serbian Superliga
06.03.22	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Novi Pazar	5:0 ✺
03.03.22	Voždovac - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:3 ✺
27.02.22	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Partizan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWW
- Glasgow Rangers
Scottish Cup
13.03.22	Dundee - Glasgow Rangers	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
10.03.22	Glasgow Rangers - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	3:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
05.03.22	Glasgow Rangers - Aberdeen	1:0 ✺
02.03.22	St. Johnstone - Glasgow Rangers	0:1 ✺
27.02.22	Glasgow Rangers - Motherwell	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
10.03.22	Glasgow Rangers - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	3:0

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