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Current Win Probability
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 69.9%
Draw 19.3%
Ludogorets Razgrad 10.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.1%
20.1%
11.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.6%
10.5%
22.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Ludogorets Razgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-34.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crvena Zvezda Belgrade that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ludogorets Razgrad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Crvena Zvezda has a chance of round of 16 (40%), has a small chance of qtrs (11%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%), has currently - 7, has a chance of 1st (28%), has a chance of 2nd (48%), has a chance of 3rd (23%).
Ludogorets has a very small chance of round of 16 (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%), has currently - 1, has not chance of 1st, has a very small chance of 2nd (1%), has a very small chance of 3rd (4%).
Crvena Zvezda is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Ludogorets is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Crvena Zvezda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Crvena Zvezda have a series of guest games.
In this match Crvena Zvezda is absolute favorite.
In this match Crvena Zvezda is absolute favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Crvena Zvezda won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Crvena Zvezda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.
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