Match Info

efbet League - Championship Group - Round 35

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Bistritsa Stadium (Sofia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra


	CSKA 1948 Sofia		Ludogorets Razgrad

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.7	1.96	Watch
	3.35	3.55	1.95	Watch
	3.45	3.78	2.03
	3.65	3.68	1.93	Watch
	3.2	3.4	1.95
	3.38	3.68	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (3.22)	3.63 ↑ (3.33)	1.97 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSKA 1948 Sofia
27.3%

Draw
25.6%

Ludogorets Razgrad
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

27.6%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

26.5%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA 1948 Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA 1948 Sofia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ludogorets Razgrad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

CSKA 1948 Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. CSKA 1948 will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Ludogorets will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marinov P. (G) 96. Grivic D. 21. Dvali L. 6. Parkhomenko E. 22. Gasevic O. (C) 11. Rusev G. 23. Krebs F. 34. Vitanov P. 10. Tsonev B. 93. Diallo M. 77. Franco E.	39. Bonmann H. (G) 17. Son 55. Nachmias I. 3. Nedyalkov A. (C) 27. Vinicius Nogueira 26. Kaloc F. 77. Erick Marcus 18. Chochev I. 14. Stanic P. 37. Tekpetey B. 9. Duah K.
Substitutes
19. Boychev M. 3. Carrion J. 67. Frederic 4. Hoffmann A. 9. Iliev A. 13. Sheytanov D. (G) 20. Sobrero B. 14. Strinski K. 88. Traore A.	29. Bile E. 23. Duarte D. 15. Kurtulus E. 1. Padt S. (G) 30. Pedro Naressi 7. Salido Tajero A. 75. Syrov E. 5. Terziev G. 82. Yordanov I.
Coaches
Aleksandrov A.	Hogmo P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Nedyalkov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rusev G. ↓, Sobrero B. ↑,
46', Franco E. ↓, Frederic ↑,
46', Diallo M. ↓, Iliev A. ↑,
55', Kaloc F. 🟨,
56', Tsonev B. 🟨,
56', Duah K. ↓, Bile E. ↑,
56', Kaloc F. ↓, Pedro Naressi ↑,
69', Erick Marcus 🟨,
72', Vitanov P. 🟨,
76', Tekpetey B. ↓, Yordanov I. ↑,
79', Son 🟨,
81', Iliev A. 🟨,
84', Gasevic O. ↓, Carrion J. ↑,
87', Stanic P. ↓, Salido Tajero A. ↑,
90+5', Son 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 0, Dvali L. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA 1948 won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Ludogorets may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, CSKA 1948 has had a series of away games.

Ludogorets is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, CSKA 1948 won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:44. (average 1.2:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, CSKA 1948 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 1.8:2.2).

Outrights of Bulgarian Parva Liga for now

Ludogorets: 30.04% CSKA 1948 Sofia: 3.27%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ludogorets	9	7	2	0	16:7	9	23
4	CSKA 1948 Sofia	10	7	1	2	19:10	9	22

Last Results with these Odds

Ludogorets Razgrad - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 43.83%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA 1948 Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
13.05.26	CSKA Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:1 ✺
08.05.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - CSKA Sofia	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Levski Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:2 ✺
15.04.26	Cherno More Varna - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 TLLWW
- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
13.05.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Levski Sofia	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Levski Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	CSKA Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:0 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
29.04.26	CSKA Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:0 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
25.04.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
25.04.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:2
05.04.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - CSKA 1948 Sofia	3:0
27.10.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	5:4
07.04.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:3
Bulgarian Cup
16.12.24	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:3
Bulgarian Parva Liga
28.10.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - CSKA 1948 Sofia	3:0
11.04.24	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:1

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