Match Info

Date: 31 January 2021, Sunday


	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade		Shakhtar Donetsk

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.5	2.05
				Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.1	Watch
	3.08	3.7	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.09)	3.5 ↓ (3.6)	2.1 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
30.6%

Draw
26%

Shakhtar Donetsk
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

25.9%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

19.8%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crvena Zvezda Belgrade that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shakhtar Donetsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Shakhtar Donetsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Neutral location.

Crvena Zvezda in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Shakhtar is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Crvena Zvezda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Crvena Zvezda have a series of guest games.

Shakhtar will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Crvena Zvezda won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Club Friendly
25.01.21	Ufa - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:1 ✺
22.01.21	Śląsk Wrocław - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:4 ✺
Serbian Cup
18.12.20	Rad - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:2 ✺
Serbian Superliga
16.12.20	Metalac - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:1 ✺
13.12.20	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Bačka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWW
- Shakhtar Donetsk
Club Friendly
31.01.21	Mura - Shakhtar Donetsk	Canceled
25.01.21	Maribor - Shakhtar Donetsk	Canceled ✺
23.01.21	Ludogorets Razgrad - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:2
21.01.21	Shakhtar Donetsk - Lech Poznań	1:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
13.12.20	Inhulets - Shakhtar Donetsk	Shakhtar Donetsk awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 ??TT?

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.02.13	Shakhtar Donetsk - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:0

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