Match Info

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday


	Shakhtar Donetsk		AEK Athens

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.50	2.50
	2.60	3.50	2.60
	2.70	3.50	2.50
	2.75	3.55	2.61
	2.63	3.51	2.58	Watch
	2.55	3.45	2.55
	2.82	3.58	2.63
	2.65	3.50	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.68)	3.51 ↑ (3.5)	2.57 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhtar Donetsk
35.7%

Draw
27.2%

AEK Athens
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

27.1%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

26.7%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Shakhtar Donetsk - AEK Athens Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Shakhtar will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). AEK will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stamford Bridge.

Both teams arrive in flying form having triumphed in their latest fixtures.

Shakhtar may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Shakhtar has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:5.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	AEK Athens	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
18	Shakhtar Donetsk	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhtar Donetsk
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kryvbas	3:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
20.09.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - LNZ Cherkasy	3:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
17.09.26	Vilkhivtsi - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:3 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
14.09.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Chornomorets Odesa	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	PSV Eindhoven - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWT
- AEK Athens
Greek Super League
20.09.26	Volos - AEK Athens	1:2 ✺
Greek Cup
17.09.26	AEK Athens - Panserraikos	8:1 ✺
Greek Super League
13.09.26	Asteras Tripolis - AEK Athens	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.09.26	AEK Athens - LASK Linz	1:0 ✺
Greek Super League
05.09.26	AEK Athens - Aris	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
13.07.23	AEK Athens - Shakhtar Donetsk	5:0

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