Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stamford Bridge (London) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 360
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 8
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 8, Pickx+ Sports 8
Bolivia	15:00	ESPN 6
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	16:00	HBO Max
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Colombia	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 6
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 8
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Ecuador	14:00	ESPN 6
Estonia	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	21:00	DAZN Deutsch, WOW
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
India	00:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	21:00	Sky Sport 258
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	ART Sport 6
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Lithuania	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	21:00	TSN Malta 4
Mexico	13:00	HBO Max
Myanmar	01:30	Canal+ Myanmar
New Zealand	08:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	20:00	SuperSport LaLiga
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	00:00	Tapmad
Paraguay	16:00	ESPN 6
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 6
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 6
Portugal	20:00	DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 5
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	Space Latin America, ViX Latin America
South Korea	04:00	SPOTV Now
Spain	21:00	Movistar Plus+
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	22:00	Tabii Spor 2, Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Kingdom	20:00	HBO Max, TNT Sports 8
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 6


	Shakhtar Donetsk		AEK Athens

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.4	2.63
	2.60	3.30	2.70
	2.72	3.3	2.72
	2.72	3.4	2.76
	2.67	3.4	2.76	Watch
	2.65	3.3	2.7
	2.79	3.49	2.7
	2.6	3.4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.68)	3.37 ↓ (3.5)	2.71 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhtar Donetsk
36%

Draw
28.5%

AEK Athens
35.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.5%

27.1%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

26.7%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	50%	20.6%

Shakhtar Donetsk - AEK Athens Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Shakhtar will win (votes: 10 - 29.4%). AEK will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.2% – 66.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - AEK (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Shakhtar (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 2 - 40%). AEK (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Riznyk D. (G) 17. Tobias V. 5. Bondar V. 22. Matvienko M. (C) 13. Pedro Henrique 27. Ocheretko O. 30. Alisson 10. Pedrinho 6. Marlon Gomes 11. Newerton 9. Kaua Elias	91. Brignoli A. (G) 12. Rota L. 2. Moukoudi H. (C) 44. Relvas F. 3. Pilo S. 14. Majer L. 27. Vitalis M. 18. Marin R. 11. Koita A. 90. Zini 9. Jovic L.
Substitutes
99. Bruninho 23. Fesyun K. (G) 25. Gabriel Carvalho 14. Isaque Silva 20. Karavaev O. 8. Kryskiv D. 49. Luca Meirelles 37. Lucas Ferreira 77. Mendoza G. 29. Nazaryna Y. 2. Traore L. 24. Tsukanov V.	16. Arriaga K. 41. Balamotis M. (G) 8. Gacinovic M. 23. Joao Mario 6. Kairinen K. 22. Lykogiannis C. 20. Mantalos P. 19. Varga B. 21. Vida D. 10. Zubkov O.
Coaches
Turan A.	Nikolic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', Majer L. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Majer L. ⚽, Pilo S. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Pedrinho (Penalty Awarded),
42', Moukoudi H. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Marlon Gomes 🟨,
61', Marin R. 🟨,
63', Pedrinho ↓, Isaque Silva ↑,
63', Newerton ↓, Mendoza G. ↑,
71', Majer L. ↓, Joao Mario ↑,
71', Zini ↓, Gacinovic M. ↑,
78', Vitalis M. ↓, Kairinen K. ↑,
79', Jovic L. ↓, Varga B. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Tobias V. ⚽, Alisson (A),
81', Marlon Gomes ↓, Nazaryna Y. ↑,
83', Marin R. ↓, Zubkov O. ↑,
86', 3 - 1, Mendoza G. ⚽, Isaque Silva (A),
87', Alisson ↓, Lucas Ferreira ↑,
87', Kaua Elias ↓, Luca Meirelles ↑,
90', Varga B. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stamford Bridge.

Both teams have recently enjoyed an outstanding winning streak.

Shakhtar may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Shakhtar: Azarovi I. (Knee Injury) Eguinaldo (Shoulder Injury) Fesyun K. (Illness) Ghram A. (Injury) Korniyenko V. (Off the roster) Obah P. (Off the roster) Puzankov T. (Off the roster) Shved M. (Off the roster) Tvardovskyi D. (Off the roster).

Confirmed absences for AEK: Alexiou C. (Off the roster) Georgiev M. (Off the roster) Kutesa D. (Off the roster) Pierrot F. (Off the roster) Sahabo H. (Off the roster) Strakosha T. (Wrist Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for AEK: Varga B. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Shakhtar has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:5.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Shakhtar Donetsk	3	1	1	1	4:3	1	4
29	AEK Athens	3	1	0	2	3:8	-5	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League
09.10.26	Veres Rivne - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kryvbas	3:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
20.09.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - LNZ Cherkasy	3:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
17.09.26	Vilkhivtsi - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:3 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
14.09.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Chornomorets Odesa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWW
- AEK Athens
Greek Super League
10.10.26	AEK Athens - OFI	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Volos - AEK Athens	1:2 ✺
Greek Cup
17.09.26	AEK Athens - Panserraikos	8:1 ✺
Greek Super League
13.09.26	Asteras Tripolis - AEK Athens	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.09.26	AEK Athens - LASK Linz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
13.07.23	AEK Athens - Shakhtar Donetsk	5:0

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