Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Rajko Mitić (Belgrade)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade		Zenit

	1	X	2
	2.97	3.65	2.02
	3.16	3.88	2.09	Watch
	3.1	3.8	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.5)	3.78 ↑ (3.5)	2.04 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
30.1%

Draw
24.5%

Zenit
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

26.3%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

25.5%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crvena Zvezda Belgrade's form might have worsened.

Zenit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zenit's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zenit than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zenit, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Zenit Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Gutesa I. (G) 8. Kanga G. 10. Katai A. 41. Knezevic N. 45. Mituljikic N. 9. Ndiaye C. 76. Nikolic L. 14. Olayinka P. 29. Radojevic V. 23. Rodic M. 5. Spajic U.	41. Kerzhakov M. (G) 77. Akhmetov I. 21. Erokhin A. 31. Gustavo Mantuan 10. Isidor W. 15. Karavaev V. 18. Kovalenko A. 27. Nino 24. Pedro Henrique 55. Rodrigo 3. Santos D. (C)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', Spajic U. ↓, Aleksandar D. ↑,
66', Mituljikic N. ↓, Mituljikic J. ↑,
82', 1 - 0, Knezevic N. ⚽,

Preview

Crvena Zvezda in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Zenit is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Crvena Zvezda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Zenit have a series of home games.

Zenit will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Crvena Zvezda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Crvena Zvezda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Serbian Superliga
17.03.24	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Radnički 1923	5:0 ✺
13.03.24	Radnički Niš - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Partizan	2:2 ✺
02.03.24	Bačka Topola - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:3 ✺
24.02.24	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Čukarički	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWTWW
- Zenit St Petersburg
Russian Cup
13.03.24	Zenit - Dynamo Moscow	2:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
09.03.24	Ural - Zenit	1:4 ✺
02.03.24	Zenit - Spartak Moscow	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.02.24	Zenit - Santos	4:1 ✺
09.02.24	Zenit - Al-Rayyan	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
04.07.23	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Zenit	2:1
22.11.22	Zenit - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	3:1
03.07.22	Zenit - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	2:1
29.06.19	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Zenit	0:1
07.02.18	Zenit - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:0

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