Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Gazprom Arena (Saint Petersburg)

Referee: Chistyakov A. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Sport Asia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	BandSports
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Russia	Match TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Zenit		Dynamo Moscow

	1	X	2
	1.56	4.43	5.95
	1.52	4.3	5.8
	1.59	4.44	6.2
	1.54	4.1	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.41)	4.32 ↑ (4.3)	5.84 ↓ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zenit
61.5%

Draw
22.1%

Dynamo Moscow
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

21.2%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

20%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zenit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zenit, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Zenit - Dynamo Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Zenit will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Dynamo M will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Adamov D. (G) 31. Gustavo Mantuan 78. Diveev I. 33. Nino 66. Vega R. 5. Barrios W. (C) 8. Wendel 10. Glushenkov M. 14. Jhon Jhon 20. Pedrinho 7. Sobolev A.	1. Rasulov K. (G) 4. Caceres J. 55. Osipenko M. 57. David Ricardo 8. Rubens 74. Fomin D. (C) 60. Marinkin T. 10. Bitello 91. Gladyshev Y. 70. Tyukavin K. 11. Arthur Gomes
Substitutes
28. Alip N. 25. Andrade K. 3. Douglas Santos 21. Erokhin A. 9. Felipe Augusto 15. Karavaev V. 61. Kondakov D. 11. Luiz Henrique 57. Moskvichev B. (G) 17. Mostovoy A. 71. Odoevskiy D. (G) 82. Volkov S.	17. Babaev U. 24. Chavez L. 51. Dzhioev R. (G) 6. Fernandez R. 15. Glebov D. 31. Leshchuk I. (G) 5. Majstorovic M. 21. Miranchuk An. 88. Okishor V. 33. Sergeev I. 7. Skopintsev D. 56. Zaydenzal L.
Coaches
Semak S.	Schwarz S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Sobolev A. (Penalty Awarded),
33', 2 - 0, Sobolev A. ⚽, Glushenkov M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nino ↓, Andrade K. ↑,
59', Andrade K. 🟨,
60', Gladyshev Y. ↓, Sergeev I. ↑,
69', Glushenkov M. 🟨,
71', Sobolev A. ↓, Alip N. ↑,
71', Jhon Jhon ↓, Felipe Augusto ↑,
73', Fomin D. ↓, Miranchuk An. ↑,
73', Arthur Gomes ↓, Okishor V. ↑,
78', Pedrinho ↓, Douglas Santos ↑,
80', Caceres J. 🟨,
83', Wendel ↓, Kondakov D. ↑,
85', Caceres J. ↓, Skopintsev D. ↑,
86', David Ricardo 🟨,
87', 3 - 0, Glushenkov M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zenit won 4.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Zenit may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Zenit is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Dynamo M: Lunev A. (Inactive)

We predict that Zenit will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zenit won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:19. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Zenit won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:13. (average 2.2:1.2).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Dynamo Moscow: 7.61%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Zenit	10	7	0	3	22:11	11	21
4	Dynamo Moscow	9	6	1	2	14:8	6	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zenit St Petersburg
Russian Premier League
09.08.26	Zenit - Rodina Moscow	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
05.08.26	Zenit - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
02.08.26	Orenburg - Zenit	0:3 ✺
25.07.26	Akron Tolyatti - Zenit	0:5 ✺
Russian Super Cup
18.07.26	Zenit - Spartak Moscow	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWWW
- FC Dynamo Moscow
Russian Premier League
09.08.26	Dynamo Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala	3:1 ✺
Russian Cup
05.08.26	Fakel - Dynamo Moscow	0:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
01.08.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Dynamo Moscow	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Dynamo Moscow - Krylya Sovetov	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Dynamo Moscow - CSKA Moscow	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
22.03.26	Dynamo Moscow - Zenit	1:3
Club Friendly
03.02.26	Zenit - Dynamo Moscow	2:1
Russian Cup
27.11.25	Dynamo Moscow - Zenit	0:1
05.11.25	Zenit - Dynamo Moscow	1:3
Russian Premier League
26.10.25	Zenit - Dynamo Moscow	2:1
26.04.25	Dynamo Moscow - Zenit	1:1
10.08.24	Zenit - Dynamo Moscow	1:0

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