Match Info

Matogrossense - Round 9

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Arena Pantanal (Cuiabá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, TV Globo, Zapping


	Cuiabá		Várzea Grande

	1	X	2
	1.08	7.5	19.5
	1.05	9.85	26.29
	1.06	8.94	25.00	Watch
	1.08	8.5	41
	1.03	8.9	35
	1.06	8	26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.06 ↓ (1.16)	8.62 ↑ (6)	28.8 ↑ (14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cuiabá
86.2%

Draw
10.6%

Várzea Grande
3.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.4%

15.1%

6.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cuiabá's performance.

Várzea Grande has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Cuiabá - Várzea Grande Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - Cuiabá (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cuiabá (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+8', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Recent performances by Cuiabá have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Várzea Grande has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Várzea Grande may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cuiabá is the clear favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
31.01.26	Cuiabá - Nova Mutum	2:1 ✺
27.01.26	Cuiabá - União Rondonópolis	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Chapada - Cuiabá	2:2 ✺
21.01.26	Cuiabá - Sport Sinop	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Mixto - Cuiabá	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWTLT
- Várzea Grande EC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
05.02.26	Várzea Grande - Nova Mutum	1:3 ✺
01.02.26	Várzea Grande - Sport Sinop	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Mixto - Várzea Grande	0:0 ✺
20.01.26	Várzea Grande - União Rondonópolis	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Chapada - Várzea Grande	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LLTTL

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