Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 10

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Czarni Połaniec		Siarka Tarnobrzeg

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	1.98
	3.03	3.68	2.01	Watch
	3.1	3.6	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↓ (3.08)	3.63 ↓ (3.68)	1.98 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Czarni Połaniec
29.6%

Draw
24.9%

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

24.7%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

23.6%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Czarni Połaniec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Czarni Połaniec than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Czarni Połaniec - Siarka Tarnobrzeg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 5)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 12)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Czarni Połaniec won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Czarni Połaniec has had a series of away games.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Czarni Połaniec won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Czarni Połaniec won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Siarka Tarnobrzeg - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 45.73%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Czarni Połaniec
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
20.09.25	Cracovia 2 - Czarni Połaniec	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Czarni Połaniec - Sparta Kazimierza Wielka	5:2 ✺
05.09.25	Wisła II Kraków - Czarni Połaniec	2:4 ✺
30.08.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Czarni Połaniec	3:1 ✺
27.08.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Czarni Połaniec	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWWLL
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Hutnik	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
20.09.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Wisłoka Dębica - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Korona Kielce 2	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
23.11.24	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Czarni Połaniec	2:1
03.08.24	Czarni Połaniec - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:4
02.03.24	Czarni Połaniec - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:1
13.08.23	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Czarni Połaniec	3:2
26.03.22	Czarni Połaniec - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:1
21.08.21	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Czarni Połaniec	3:1

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