Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 30

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Czarni Połaniec		Wiślanie Skawina

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	2.75
	2.18	3.4	2.78
	2.18	3.4	2.77
	2.23	3.41	2.85
	2.2	3.1	2.8
	2.2	3.36	2.86	Watch
	2.39	3.5	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.39)	3.35 ↓ (3.5)	2.74 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Czarni Połaniec
40.4%

Draw
26.8%

Wiślanie Skawina
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

25.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

23.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Czarni Połaniec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Wiślanie Skawina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Czarni Połaniec than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wiślanie Skawina than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Czarni Połaniec - Wiślanie Skawina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 8)

Czarni Połaniec is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Wiślanie has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Wiślanie may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Czarni Połaniec won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Czarni Połaniec won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Czarni Polaniec	11	6	2	3	18:16	2	20
6	Wislanie Skawina	11	5	2	4	15:11	4	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Czarni Połaniec
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
01.05.26	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Czarni Połaniec	1:4 ✺
25.04.26	Czarni Połaniec - Stal Kraśnik	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Czarni Połaniec	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Czarni Połaniec - Cracovia 2	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Czarni Połaniec	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTTWW
- Wiślanie Skawina
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
01.05.26	Wiślanie Skawina - Chełmianka Chełm	0:0 ✺
24.04.26	Wiślanie Skawina - Avia Świdnik	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Star Starachowice - Wiślanie Skawina	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Wiślanie Skawina - Wisła II Kraków	0:1 ✺
02.04.26	Stal Kraśnik - Wiślanie Skawina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
18.10.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Czarni Połaniec	0:2
19.04.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Czarni Połaniec	1:2
21.09.24	Czarni Połaniec - Wiślanie Skawina	0:0

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