Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP IV - ROUND 12

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Czarni Połaniec		Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.7	3.6
	1.73	3.66	3.47
	1.73	3.85	3.8	Watch
	1.6	4	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.55)	3.8 ↓ (4.25)	3.78 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Czarni Połaniec
52.8%

Draw
23.6%

Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

21.2%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

20.5%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Czarni Połaniec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Czarni Połaniec's form might have worsened.

Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Czarni Połaniec than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Czarni Połaniec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Czarni Połaniec - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Czarni Połaniec won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Czarni Połaniec is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Czarni Połaniec won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Czarni Połaniec won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Czarni Połaniec
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
07.10.23	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Czarni Połaniec	3:0 ✺
30.09.23	Czarni Połaniec - Wiązownica	6:1 ✺
23.09.23	Avia Świdnik - Czarni Połaniec	6:2 ✺
16.09.23	Czarni Połaniec - Chełmianka Chełm	3:3 ✺
09.09.23	Garbarnia Kraków - Czarni Połaniec	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLTT
- Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
07.10.23	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:3 ✺
30.09.23	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	2:3 ✺
23.09.23	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:0 ✺
16.09.23	Wieczysta Kraków - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	3:2 ✺
09.09.23	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Wisłoka Dębica	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
22.04.23	Czarni Połaniec - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	2:1
17.09.22	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Czarni Połaniec	1:0
19.03.22	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Czarni Połaniec	2:2
18.08.21	Czarni Połaniec - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	1:1
18.05.19	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Czarni Połaniec	0:0
27.10.18	Czarni Połaniec - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	4:4

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