Match Info

ARGENTINA: TORNEO FEDERAL - ROUND 25

Date: 6 August 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Círculo Deportivo		CA Liniers

	1	X	2
	2	2.95	3.5
	2	2.9	3.8
	1.81	3.03	4.22
	2	3.18	3.68
	1.97	3.05	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.23)	3.02 ↑ (2.93)	3.8 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Círculo Deportivo
46.3%

Draw
29.9%

CA Liniers
23.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.8%

31.8%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

30.3%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Círculo Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

CA Liniers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Círculo Deportivo than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Círculo Deportivo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CA Liniers than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CA Liniers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Círculo Deportivo - CA Liniers Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Círculo Deportivo will win (votes: 4 - 80%). CA Liniers will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Círculo Deportivo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

CA Liniers has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Círculo Deportivo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Círculo Deportivo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Círculo Deportivo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Círculo Deportivo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
02.08.23	Sansinena - Círculo Deportivo	1:2 ✺
23.07.23	Círculo Deportivo - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	2:2 ✺
16.07.23	Sol de Mayo - Círculo Deportivo	2:1 ✺
08.07.23	Círculo Deportivo - Germinal	3:3 ✺
02.07.23	Cipolletti - Círculo Deportivo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 WTLTL
- CA Liniers
Argentinian Torneo Federal
02.08.23	CA Liniers - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:3 ✺
29.07.23	Sol de Mayo - CA Liniers	3:0 ✺
22.07.23	CA Liniers - Germinal	1:3 ✺
16.07.23	Cipolletti - CA Liniers	1:0 ✺
08.07.23	CA Liniers - Santamarina de Tandil	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
17.06.23	CA Liniers - Círculo Deportivo	2:0
23.04.23	Círculo Deportivo - CA Liniers	3:0
07.08.22	Círculo Deportivo - CA Liniers	1:1
30.04.22	CA Liniers - Círculo Deportivo	0:0

Círculo Deportivo - CA Liniers