Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 15

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Trama (Comandante Nicanor Otamendi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Círculo Deportivo		Olimpo Bahia Blanca

	1	X	2
	3.30	2.65	2.25
	3.15	2.62	2.42
	3.02	2.49	2.71
	4.01	2.48	2.4	Watch
	2.95	2.4	2.65
	3.13	2.61	2.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.75)	2.54 ↓ (2.95)	2.53 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Círculo Deportivo
28%

Draw
35.9%

Olimpo Bahia Blanca
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

30.5%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

30.1%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Círculo Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Olimpo Bahia Blanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Círculo Deportivo than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Círculo Deportivo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpo Bahia Blanca than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Círculo Deportivo - Olimpo Bahia Blanca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez P. (G) . . 8. Banchio R. . Barberini V. 11. Gimenez T. 5. Grahl F. 3. Leguizamon M. 2. Martinez J. 7. Rius C. 4. Rojas F. 6. Vilchez J.	1. Lungarzo J. (G) 8. Amarilla C. 4. Chimino C. 7. Coacci E. 6. Ferreyra M. 9. Gonzalez F. 10. Guille B. 3. Lapetina L. 2. Moiraghi N. 11. Ramirez D. 5. Stancato A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 0 - 1, Gonzalez F. ⚽,
50', 🟨,
50', 🟨,
50', (Penalty Awarded),
55', 🟨,
59', 🟨,
60', 🟨,
61', (Penalty Awarded),
61', 1 - 1, Iriberri I. ⚽,
65', 🟨,
76', 🟨,
82', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Círculo Deportivo won 2.

Recent form of Círculo Deportivo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Olimpo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Olimpo could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Círculo Deportivo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Círculo Deportivo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Círculo Deportivo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.06.26	Alvarado - Círculo Deportivo	1:0 ✺
14.06.26	Círculo Deportivo - Santamarina de Tandil	0:0 ✺
07.06.26	Germinal - Círculo Deportivo	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Círculo Deportivo - Villa Mitre	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Círculo Deportivo - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTTTL
- Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.06.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:0 ✺
14.06.26	Sol de Mayo - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:1 ✺
07.06.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Guillermo Brown	0:0 ✺
24.05.26	Alvarado - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Santamarina de Tandil - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
27.04.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Círculo Deportivo	1:0
08.06.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Círculo Deportivo	1:2
05.04.25	Círculo Deportivo - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1
09.06.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Círculo Deportivo	3:1
14.04.24	Círculo Deportivo - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	3:1
17.09.23	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Círculo Deportivo	1:0
23.07.23	Círculo Deportivo - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	2:2

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