Match Info

Date: 15 May 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Círculo Deportivo		Sportivo Peñarol

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Círculo Deportivo
45%

Draw
31.6%

Sportivo Peñarol
23.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.8%

31%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

30.9%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Círculo Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Sportivo Peñarol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Círculo Deportivo than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Peñarol than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 15).

Recent matches Círculo Deportivo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sportivo Peñarol is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Círculo Deportivo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Círculo Deportivo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Círculo Deportivo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Círculo Deportivo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
11.05.22	Ferro Gen.Pico - Círculo Deportivo	2:1 ✺
07.05.22	Círculo Deportivo - Juventud Unida Universitario	1:0 ✺
30.04.22	CA Liniers - Círculo Deportivo	0:0 ✺
17.04.22	Círculo Deportivo - Argentino Monte Maíz	3:0 ✺
10.04.22	Sol de Mayo - Círculo Deportivo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 LWTWL
- Sportivo Peñarol
Argentinian Torneo Federal
11.05.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Argentino Monte Maíz	2:2 ✺
07.05.22	Sol de Mayo - Sportivo Peñarol	1:0 ✺
30.04.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:1 ✺
24.04.22	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Sportivo Peñarol	5:0 ✺
17.04.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLW

Argentinian Torneo Federal
21.08.21	Círculo Deportivo - Sportivo Peñarol	1:2
25.04.21	Sportivo Peñarol - Círculo Deportivo	2:2
13.12.20	Círculo Deportivo - Sportivo Peñarol	0:1
24.11.19	Círculo Deportivo - Sportivo Peñarol	2:1

Círculo Deportivo - Sportivo Peñarol