Match Info

ARGENTINA: TORNEO FEDERAL - ROUND 30

Date: 13 September 2023, Wednesday


	Sportivo Peñarol		Argentino Monte Maíz

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.05
	3.2	3.14	2.27
	3.22	3.3	2.12	Watch
	3.05	3.3	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↓ (3.34)	3.24 ↑ (3.21)	2.15 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Peñarol
29.3%

Draw
28.2%

Argentino Monte Maíz
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

28.6%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

27.7%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Peñarol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Argentino Monte Maíz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Peñarol than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino Monte Maíz than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Sportivo Peñarol - Argentino Monte Maíz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Sportivo Peñarol is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Argentino MM is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sportivo Peñarol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Argentino MM will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Peñarol won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Peñarol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Peñarol
Argentinian Torneo Federal
08.09.23	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Sportivo Peñarol	4:1 ✺
03.09.23	Sportivo Peñarol - Ferro Gen.Pico	0:2 ✺
27.08.23	Sportivo Peñarol - Atenas Río Cuarto	1:1 ✺
20.08.23	Huracán Las Heras - Sportivo Peñarol	1:0 ✺
06.08.23	Sportivo Peñarol - San Martín de Mendoza	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTLW
- Argentino Monte Maíz
Argentinian Torneo Federal
09.09.23	Argentino Monte Maíz - Ciudad de Bolívar	2:2 ✺
27.08.23	Argentino Monte Maíz - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	0:1 ✺
20.08.23	Ferro Gen.Pico - Argentino Monte Maíz	1:2 ✺
06.08.23	Argentino Monte Maíz - Atenas Río Cuarto	0:0 ✺
02.08.23	Huracán Las Heras - Argentino Monte Maíz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
15.07.23	Argentino Monte Maíz - Sportivo Peñarol	1:1
21.05.23	Sportivo Peñarol - Argentino Monte Maíz	1:3
25.03.23	Argentino Monte Maíz - Sportivo Peñarol	2:1
20.08.22	Argentino Monte Maíz - Sportivo Peñarol	0:1
11.05.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Argentino Monte Maíz	2:2

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