Match Info

COLOMBIA: Liga Women - Round 7

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio General Santander (Cúcuta)


	Cúcuta Deportivo		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	2.85	3	2.25
	2.65	2.85	2.7
	2.71	2.91	2.69
	2.71	2.91	2.69
	2.4	3.12	2.9
	2.65	2.85	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (3.49)	2.94 ↓ (3.54)	2.66 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cúcuta Deportivo
34.4%

Draw
31.1%

Independiente Medellín
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

26.1%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

25.3%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cúcuta Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cúcuta Deportivo's performance.

Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Medellín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cúcuta Deportivo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Medellín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Acosta A. (G) 10. Constante S. 24. Franco K. 28. Garcia J. 8. Garzon S. 18. Moreno A. 7. Parada J. 13. Rozo D. 15. Ruiz N. 19. Sarmiento S. 5. Siso K.	1. Zarraga M. (G) 6. Alvarez S. 20. Cartagena E. 4. Fisgativa A. 10. Gonzalez E. 7. Hurtado M. 2. Iglesias A. 23. Lopez M. 18. Munera M. 14. Rangel N. 15. Tangarife V.
Substitutes
3. Aguilar J. 26. Cardozo M. 1. Diaz S. (G) 21. Loaiza M. 23. Pallares S. 16. Soto C.	25. Aguilar M. 17. Chanchi I. 8. Hoyos A. 26. Macias P. 22. Montano L. 11. Pavas A. 5. Tuberquia D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Tangarife V. 🟨,
44', Moreno A. 🟨,
45+2', Iglesias A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cartagena E. ↓, Macias P. ↑,
63', Franco K. ↓, Loaiza M. ↑,
65', Munera M. ↓, Chanchi I. ↑,
66', Lopez M. ↓, Hoyos A. ↑,
73', Garcia J. ↓, Pallares S. ↑,
73', Gonzalez E. ↓, Pavas A. ↑,
82', Siso K. ↓, Cardozo M. ↑,
82', Parada J. ↓, Aguilar J. ↑,
90+4', Constante S. 🟨,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Cúcuta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Independiente Medellín will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cúcuta Deportivo Women
Colombian Liga Women
04.04.24	Deportivo Cali - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Cúcuta Deportivo - Deportivo Pasto	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	Real Santander - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:3 ✺
09.03.24	Cúcuta Deportivo - La Equidad	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Inter Palmira - Cúcuta Deportivo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWWL
- Independiente Medellín Women
Colombian Liga Women
06.04.24	Independiente Medellín - América de Cali	2:3 ✺
23.03.24	Llaneros - Independiente Medellín	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla	4:0 ✺
08.03.24	Deportivo Pereira - Independiente Medellín	1:4 ✺
24.02.24	Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWWW

Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Medellín: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide