Match Info

I Liqa - Round 17

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday


	Zagatala		Shimal

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.31	4.75	7.3
	1.26	5.37	8.11
	2.04	3.78	2.95	Watch
	1.3	4.6	8
	1.32	5.35	7.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.29)	4.77 ↓ (4.98)	6.77 ↓ (7.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagatala
65.9%

Draw
20%

Shimal
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

18.1%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagatala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Shimal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Zagatala - Shimal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Sahbazli ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Babazada A. ⚽,
33', 1 - 2, Qla A. ⚽,
45', 2 - 2, Shabanov R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 3 - 2, Abdullayev S. ⚽,
58', 3 - 3, Osmanov N. ⚽,
89', 3 - 4, Osmanov N. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 10 in the zone Relegation).

In this match, Zagatala is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zagatala won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Zaqatala	4	1	1	2	5:11	-6	4
9	Shimal	3	0	1	2	3:7	-4	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagatala PFK
Azerbaijan First Division
25.02.26	Shahdag Qusar - Zagatala	1:0 ✺
19.02.26	Zagatala - Difai Ağsu	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Mingachevir - Zagatala	0:0 ✺
05.02.26	Zagatala - Səbail	0:1 ✺
24.12.25	Baku Sporting - Zagatala	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWTLL
- FK Shimal
Azerbaijan First Division
24.02.26	Shimal - Cəbrayıl	3:2 ✺
19.02.26	Shimal - Shahdag Qusar	0:1 ✺
13.02.26	Difai Ağsu - Shimal	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Shimal - Mingachevir	0:3 ✺
24.12.25	Səbail - Shimal	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 88.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
26.11.25	Shimal - Zagatala	0:4

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