Match Info

I Liqa - Round 20

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday


	Zagatala		Difai Ağsu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.8	3.4	3.85
	1.85	3.82	3.14
	2.23	2.84	3.42	Watch
	1.82	3.52	3.73
	1.77	3.39	3.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.71)	3.39 ↓ (3.6)	3.61 ↓ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagatala
48%

Draw
26.8%

Difai Ağsu
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

25.4%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

22.3%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagatala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zagatala's form might have worsened.

Difai Ağsu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagatala than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Difai Ağsu than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Zagatala - Difai Ağsu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Sabanov R. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagatala won 2.

Zagatala is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Difai is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Zagatala is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Zagatala won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Zagatala won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Zaqatala	4	1	1	2	5:11	-6	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagatala PFK
Azerbaijan First Division
19.03.26	Shimal - Zagatala	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Cəbrayıl - Zagatala	1:0 ✺
05.03.26	Zagatala - Shimal	3:4 ✺
25.02.26	Shahdag Qusar - Zagatala	1:0 ✺
19.02.26	Zagatala - Difai Ağsu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 TLLLW
- Difai Ağsu
Azerbaijan First Division
19.03.26	Difai Ağsu - Cəbrayıl	1:1 ✺
12.03.26	Difai Ağsu - Baku Sporting	1:3 ✺
06.03.26	MOIK Baku - Difai Ağsu	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	Difai Ağsu - Şəfa	1:8 ✺
19.02.26	Zagatala - Difai Ağsu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
19.02.26	Zagatala - Difai Ağsu	2:1
06.11.25	Difai Ağsu - Zagatala	1:2
17.04.25	Difai Ağsu - Zagatala	1:0
14.02.25	Zagatala - Difai Ağsu	1:1
25.10.24	Difai Ağsu - Zagatala	3:1
22.05.24	Difai Ağsu - Zagatala	1:1
06.12.23	Zagatala - Difai Ağsu	4:2

Zagatala - Difai Ağsu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide