Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga West - Round 33

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday


	Düren		Alemannia Aachen

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	1.93
	3.2	3.75	2
	3.4	4.43	1.98
	2.92	4.54	1.99
	3.42	3.75	1.92
	3.15	3.8	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↓ (5.55)	3.98 ↓ (4.42)	1.96 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Düren
29.1%

Draw
23.4%

Alemannia Aachen
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.7%

20.9%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

20.3%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Düren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Düren's performance.

Alemannia Aachen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alemannia Aachen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Düren than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Düren that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alemannia Aachen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Düren - Alemannia Aachen Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Düren will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Heinz A. ⚽,
3', 1 - 1, Dulleck P. ⚽,
13', 2 - 1, Breuer S. ⚽,
43', 3 - 1, Harnafi I. ⚽,
45+1', Lela P. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 4 - 1, Dulleck P. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga).

Aachen is Confirmed as championsnQualified for 3. Liga

Recent matches Düren is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aachen is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Aachen will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Düren won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Düren won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1.FC Düren
German Regionalliga West
04.05.24	Düren - Bocholt	1:1 ✺
27.04.24	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Düren	2:2 ✺
20.04.24	Düren - Fortuna Köln	2:2 ✺
13.04.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Düren	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Düren - Gütersloh	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TTTTT
- Alemannia Aachen
German Regionalliga West
04.05.24	Wiedenbrück - Alemannia Aachen	0:4 ✺
27.04.24	Alemannia Aachen - Bocholt	1:2 ✺
20.04.24	Paderborn II - Alemannia Aachen	0:1 ✺
13.04.24	Alemannia Aachen - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	3:0 ✺
06.04.24	Wegberg-Beeck - Alemannia Aachen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
18.11.23	Alemannia Aachen - Düren	2:1
03.12.22	Düren - Alemannia Aachen	1:1
31.07.22	Alemannia Aachen - Düren	2:2

Upcoming Matches