Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga West - Round 30

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Paderborn II		Alemannia Aachen

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.3
	3.75	3.2	2
	3.59	3.46	2.34
	2.87	3.46	2.34
	2.97	3.27	2.28
	2.8	3.1	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↓ (5.65)	3.27 ↓ (4.36)	2.27 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is -0.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Paderborn II
30%

Draw
28.7%

Alemannia Aachen
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.4%

21.2%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.4%

21.2%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paderborn II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paderborn II's performance.

Alemannia Aachen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alemannia Aachen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn II than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paderborn II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (+21.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alemannia Aachen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Paderborn II - Alemannia Aachen Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Paderborn II will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Aachen will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Topken T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga).

Paderborn II is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aachen in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Aachen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Aachen is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Paderborn II won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Paderborn II
German Regionalliga West
15.04.24	Paderborn II - Wegberg-Beeck	4:1 ✺
05.04.24	Köln II - Paderborn II	1:0 ✺
31.03.24	Paderborn II - Rödinghausen	0:0 ✺
15.03.24	Schalke 04 II - Paderborn II	3:0 ✺
09.03.24	Paderborn II - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLTLL
- Alemannia Aachen
German Regionalliga West
13.04.24	Alemannia Aachen - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	3:0 ✺
06.04.24	Wegberg-Beeck - Alemannia Aachen	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Alemannia Aachen - Fortuna Köln	1:0 ✺
15.03.24	Köln II - Alemannia Aachen	0:2 ✺
08.03.24	Alemannia Aachen - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
28.10.23	Alemannia Aachen - Paderborn II	2:1
Club Friendly
15.01.19	Alemannia Aachen - Paderborn II	4:0

Upcoming Matches