Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Ibn Batouta (Tanger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport PSL
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4
Australia	beIN Sports 3
Brazil	BandSports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Italy	Sportitalia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 2
Norway	VG+
Portugal	Sport TV7
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones
Turkey	Exxen
United-kingdom	4Seven, Channel 4
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Zambia	ZNBC 1


	Senegal		Sudan

	1	X	2
	1.14	8	19	Watch
	1.13	7.7	28	Watch
	1.15	7.44	23.9	Watch
	1.14	7	23
	1.14	8	19.9	Watch
	1.15	7	20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.28)	7.52 ↑ (5.15)	22.3 ↑ (13.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Senegal
83.1%

Draw
12.6%

Sudan
4.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.4%

18.5%

7.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Senegal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Senegal's performance.

Sudan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Senegal - Sudan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Senegal will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Senegal will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Mendy E. (G) Al Ahli SC 15. Diatta K. Monaco 4. Seck A. Maccabi Haifa 19. Niakhate M. Lyon 14. Jakobs I. Galatasaray 7. Diarra H. Sunderland 5. Gueye I. (C) Everton 26. Gueye P. Villarreal 18. Sarr I. Crystal Palace 11. Jackson N. Bayern Munich 10. Mane S. Al Nassr	21. Elneel M. (G) EL Merriekh Bentiu 25. Barglan S. Den Bosch 3. Saeed Ahmed M. Al-Hilal Omdurman 6. Karshom M. Al-Hilal Omdurman 12. Khamis B. (C) Al Ahly Tripoli 13. Taifour A. CS Sfaxien 2. Abuaagla M. Al Ahly Benghazi 5. Khidir W. Al-Hilal Omdurman 26. Abdallah A. Green Gully 14. Eisa M. Uthai Thani 10. Abdelrahman M. Al-Hilal Omdurman
Substitutes
8. Camara L. Monaco 6. Ciss P. Rayo Vallecano 9. Dia B. Lazio 20. Diallo H. Metz 23. Diaw M. (G) Le Havre 25. Diouf M. West Ham 1. Diouf Y. (G) Nice 27. Mbaye I. PSG 24. Mendy A. Nice 12. Ndiaye C. Samsunspor 13. Ndiaye I. Everton 22. Niang O. Royale Union SG 21. Sabaly C. Metz 2. Sarr M. Strasbourg 17. Sarr P. M. Tottenham	4. Abaker A. Al-Hilal Omdurman 16. Abooja M. (G) 15. Alhassan S. Al-Hilal Omdurman 1. Ali Aboeshren (G) Al-Hilal Omdurman 7. Awad Y. Al-Hilal Omdurman 24. Hakeem M. Al-Merreikh 23. Manan A. 11. Mano J. Al Ahly Benghazi 17. Mohamedein M. Al Akhdar 9. Mozamil Y. Al-Hilal Omdurman 22. Nooh A. G. Al Ahly Tripoli 8. Omer A. Al-Hilal Omdurman 27. Tia Asad M. 18. Zaid A.
Coaches
Thiaw P.	Kwesi Appiah J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Abdallah A. ⚽, Khidir W. (A),
13', Jakobs I. 🟨,
29', 1 - 1, Gueye P. ⚽, Mane S. (A),
45+3', 2 - 1, Gueye P. ⚽, Jackson N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Jackson N. 🟨,
53', Jakobs I. ↓, Diouf M. ↑,
53', Jackson N. ↓, Dia B. ↑,
61', Karshom M. ↓, Abaker A. ↑,
68', Abdelrahman M. ↓, Alhassan S. ↑,
70', Barglan S. 🟨,
73', Diarra H. ↓, Camara L. ↑,
74', Sarr I. ↓, Mbaye I. ↑,
77', 3 - 1, Mbaye I. ⚽, Mane S. (A),
79', Khidir W. ↓, Mano J. ↑,
79', Abuaagla M. ↓, Nooh A. G. ↑,
79', Abdallah A. ↓, Omer A. ↑,
85', Alhassan S. 🟨,
87', Gueye P. ↓, Ciss P. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Senegal won 3.

Sudan is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sudan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Senegal is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Senegal: Camara I. (Muscle Injury) Diao A. (Thigh Injury) Koulibaly K. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Sudan: Alhassan S. (Injury) Eisa A. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Senegal won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 1.3:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Senegal
Africa Cup of Nations
30.12.25	Benin - Senegal	0:3 ✺
27.12.25	Senegal - D.R. Congo	1:1 ✺
23.12.25	Senegal - Botswana	3:0 ✺
Friendly
15.11.25	Brazil - Senegal	2:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
14.10.25	Senegal - Mauritania	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WTWLW
- Sudan
Africa Cup of Nations
31.12.25	Sudan - Burkina Faso	0:2 ✺
28.12.25	Equatorial Guinea - Sudan	0:1 ✺
24.12.25	Algeria - Sudan	3:0 ✺
FIFA Arab Cup
09.12.25	Bahrain - Sudan	3:1 ✺
06.12.25	Sudan - Iraq	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
05.09.25	Senegal - Sudan	2:0
African Nations Championship
29.08.25	Sudan - Senegal	1:2 penalties
19.08.25	Sudan - Senegal	0:0
FIFA World Cup
22.03.25	Sudan - Senegal	0:0
Africa Cup of Nations
16.10.18	Sudan - Senegal	0:1
13.10.18	Senegal - Sudan	3:0

Senegal - Sudan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide