Match Info

Date: 20 March 2022, Sunday


	DUX Internacional de Madrid		Badajoz

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.7	2.15
	3.7	2.7	2.1
	3.8	2.75	2.15
	3.45	2.85	2.12
	3.88	2.91	2.16
	3.68	3.16	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (2.28)	2.85 ↓ (2.93)	2.12 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

DUX Internacional de Madrid
24.8%

Draw
32.1%

Badajoz
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

30.8%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

33.5%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

DUX Internacional de Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that DUX Internacional de Madrid's form might have worsened.

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Badajoz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for DUX Internacional de Madrid than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for DUX Internacional de Madrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Badajoz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

DUX Internacional de Madrid - Badajoz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 and 9).

Recent matches DUX Internacional is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Badajoz is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

DUX Internacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches DUX Internacional won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-4.

Including matches at home between the teams DUX Internacional won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- DUX Internacional de Madrid
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.03.22	Athletic Bilbao B - DUX Internacional de Madrid	1:0 ✺
06.03.22	Zamora - DUX Internacional de Madrid	0:2 ✺
27.02.22	DUX Internacional de Madrid - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
20.02.22	Tudelano - DUX Internacional de Madrid	1:0 ✺
12.02.22	DUX Internacional de Madrid - Valladolid B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWTLT
- CD Badajoz
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.03.22	Badajoz - Deportivo A Coruña	3:0 ✺
05.03.22	Tudelano - Badajoz	1:2 ✺
26.02.22	Badajoz - Zamora	0:0 ✺
18.02.22	Talavera de la Reina - Badajoz	1:3 ✺
13.02.22	Racing Santander - Badajoz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.09.21	Badajoz - DUX Internacional de Madrid	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.04.21	Badajoz - DUX Internacional de Madrid	1:0
04.04.21	DUX Internacional de Madrid - Badajoz	0:2

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