The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
DUX Internacional de Madrid 36.3%
Draw 30.3%
Talavera de la Reina 33.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.5%
28.2%
29.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.8%
19.7%
41.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
DUX Internacional de Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that DUX Internacional de Madrid's form might have worsened.
Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for DUX Internacional de Madrid than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with DUX Internacional de Madrid that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Talavera de la Reina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
DUX Internacional de Madrid - Talavera de la Reina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
DUX Internacional is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Talavera is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Talavera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 3 head-to-head matches DUX Internacional won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
Including matches at home between the teams DUX Internacional won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.