Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 26

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday


	Talavera de la Reina		Badajoz

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.4	6
	1.58	3.25	5.5
	1.63	3.5	5.5	Watch
	1.57	3.6	5.97
	1.52	3.6	5.97
	1.54	3.6	6.61
	1.56	3.4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.62)	3.48 ↑ (3.1)	5.94 ↓ (6.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talavera de la Reina
58.4%

Draw
26.2%

Badajoz
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

29.3%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

28.4%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-1%)

Talavera de la Reina - Badajoz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Talavera won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Talavera is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Talavera won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Talavera won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.03.24	Talavera de la Reina - Ursaria	3:0 ✺
25.02.24	UD San Fernando - Talavera de la Reina	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Talavera de la Reina - CD Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Unión Adarve - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Talavera de la Reina - San Sebastian Reyes	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WTTLL
- CD Badajoz
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.03.24	Badajoz - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Ursaria - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Badajoz - Numancia	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	UD San Fernando - Badajoz	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	Badajoz - Illescas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.10.23	Badajoz - Talavera de la Reina	3:2
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.04.23	Talavera de la Reina - Badajoz	2:1
15.01.23	Badajoz - Talavera de la Reina	1:1
18.02.22	Talavera de la Reina - Badajoz	1:3
29.08.21	Badajoz - Talavera de la Reina	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
21.02.21	Badajoz - Talavera de la Reina	0:0
29.11.20	Talavera de la Reina - Badajoz	0:3

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