Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Reina Sofia (Salamanca) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	18:30	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Unionistas de Salamanca		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	2	2.9	3.6
	2.05	3	3.65
	2.16	2.97	3.94
	1.99	3.3	3.78	Watch
	2.05	2.75	3.6
	2.1	3.05	3.78
	2.08	2.75	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.07)	2.96 ↓ (3.1)	3.73 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unionistas de Salamanca
44.5%

Draw
31%

Talavera de la Reina
24.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.9%

30%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

31.1%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unionistas de Salamanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Unionistas de Salamanca - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Suarez Coronas Lastra M. (G) 16. Murria V. 5. Farru 17. Errahaly M. 2. Olmedo V. 6. Juanje 8. Lopez J. 11. Gomez A. (C) 24. Abde 23. Pinan A. 21. Marco P.	1. Gonzalez J. (G) 5. Molina S. 2. Cuenca D. 4. Lopez A. 15. Acosta L. 16. Navarro I. 21. Montero Sergio 6. Pitu 20. Ferni 11. Gallardo Rodriguez E. (C) 7. Di Renzo G.
Substitutes
10. de la Nava C. 29. Hiobi H. 22. Lendinez J. 1. Marino U. (G) 4. Mayor R. 7. Moreno I. 19. Prada R. 14. Roldan L.	18. Capo P. 23. Farrando M. 19. Gomez V. 9. Moreno M. 17. Ouacharaf B. 3. Roig A. 28. Sanchez A. 8. Sanchez L. 32. Torres A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
7', Acosta L. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Olmedo V. ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Marco P. ⚽,
43', 3 - 0, Juanje ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 4 - 0, Gomez A. ⚽,
67', Cuenca D. ↓, Farrando M. ↑,
68', Olmedo V. ↓, Lendinez J. ↑,
68', Lopez J. ↓, Roldan L. ↑,
68', Pinan A. ↓, de la Nava C. ↑,
70', 4 - 1, Di Renzo G. ⚽,
76', Ferni ↓, Roig A. ↑,
80', Marco P. ↓, Mayor R. ↑,
84', Pitu ↓, Gomez V. ↑,
90', Abde ↓, Arvelo A. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+6', 5 - 1, Mayor R. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unionistas won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Talavera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Unionistas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Unionistas won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Unionistas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Unionistas	9	3	1	5	12:15	-3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Unionistas de Salamanca - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.87%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unionistas de Salamanca
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.01.26	Lugo - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:3 ✺
11.01.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Zamora	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Barakaldo - Unionistas de Salamanca	5:0 ✺
20.12.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Cacereño	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Ferrol - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTLTL
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.01.26	Talavera de la Reina - Celta de Vigo B	1:1 ✺
09.01.26	Tenerife - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Talavera de la Reina - CD Guadalajara	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Talavera de la Reina - Real Madrid	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.11.25	Talavera de la Reina - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:1
16.04.23	Talavera de la Reina - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:1
19.11.22	Unionistas de Salamanca - Talavera de la Reina	1:2
06.02.22	Unionistas de Salamanca - Talavera de la Reina	4:1
17.10.21	Talavera de la Reina - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1
Club Friendly
22.08.21	Talavera de la Reina - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0

Unionistas de Salamanca - Talavera de la Reina