The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unionistas de Salamanca 44.5%
Draw 31%
Talavera de la Reina 24.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.9%
30%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.6%
31.1%
24.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unionistas de Salamanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Unionistas de Salamanca - Talavera de la Reina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Suarez Coronas Lastra M. (G) 16. Murria V. 5. Farru 17. Errahaly M. 2. Olmedo V. 6. Juanje 8. Lopez J. 11. Gomez A. (C) 24. Abde 23. Pinan A. 21. Marco P.
1. Gonzalez J. (G) 5. Molina S. 2. Cuenca D. 4. Lopez A. 15. Acosta L. 16. Navarro I. 21. Montero Sergio 6. Pitu 20. Ferni 11. Gallardo Rodriguez E. (C) 7. Di Renzo G.
Substitutes
10. de la Nava C. 29. Hiobi H. 22. Lendinez J. 1. Marino U. (G) 4. Mayor R. 7. Moreno I. 19. Prada R. 14. Roldan L.
18. Capo P. 23. Farrando M. 19. Gomez V. 9. Moreno M. 17. Ouacharaf B. 3. Roig A. 28. Sanchez A. 8. Sanchez L. 32. Torres A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
7', Acosta L. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Olmedo V. ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Marco P. ⚽,
43', 3 - 0, Juanje ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 4 - 0, Gomez A. ⚽,
67', Cuenca D. ↓, Farrando M. ↑,
68', Olmedo V. ↓, Lendinez J. ↑,
68', Lopez J. ↓, Roldan L. ↑,
68', Pinan A. ↓, de la Nava C. ↑,
70', 4 - 1, Di Renzo G. ⚽,
76', Ferni ↓, Roig A. ↑,
80', Marco P. ↓, Mayor R. ↑,
84', Pitu ↓, Gomez V. ↑,
90', Abde ↓, Arvelo A. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+6', 5 - 1, Mayor R. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unionistas won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Talavera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Unionistas will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Unionistas won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Unionistas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
15
Unionistas
6
2
0
4
9:12
-3
6
Last Results with these Odds
Unionistas de Salamanca - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.87%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Spain
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Suarez Coronas Lastra M. (G) 
Errahaly M. 
Di Renzo G. 
