Match Info

K League 1 - Relegation Group - Round 38

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: DGB Daegu Bank Park (Daegu)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play, JTBC Golf&Sports
World	Onefootball


	Daegu		Anyang

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.3	Watch
	2.12	3.3	3.1
	2.12	3.52	3.54
	2.60	3.23	2.65	Watch
	2.07	3.62	3.42	Watch
	2.08	3.4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.6)	3.43 ↑ (3.23)	3.24 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daegu
43.5%

Draw
27.4%

Anyang
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

28.9%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

29.2%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daegu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daegu's performance.

Anyang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Anyang might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daegu than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daegu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anyang than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Anyang could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Daegu - Anyang Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Daegu will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Anyang will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Han Tae-Hui (G) 45. Kim Hyeon-jun 55. Woo Ju-Seong 20. Kim Kang-San 27. Jeong Heon-taek 5. Reis G. 2. Hwang Jae-Won 44. Kim Jung-Hyeon 32. Jeong Chi-In 19. Park Dae-Hoon 77. Kim Ju-Gong	31. Kim Da-Sol (G) 17. Kang Ji-Hoon 4. Lee Chang-Yong 5. Kim Young-Chan 22. Kim Dong-Jin 71. Chae Hyun-woo 16. Choe Gyu-hyeon 55. Oude Kotte T. 70. Jukic I. 7. Matheus Oliveira 19. Kim Un
Substitutes
10. Bruno Lamas 4. Caio Marcelo 88. Carlos Jatoba 11. Cesinha 9. Edgar 6. Hong Jung-Woon 18. Jeong Jae-sang 38. Lee Rim 51. Park M. (G)	9. Bruno Mota 11. Choi S. 77. Im Seung-Kyum 23. Jang J. 3. Kim J. h. 8. Kim Jung-Hyun 32. Lee Tae-Hee 1. Lee Yun-Oh (G) 28. Moon Seong-Woo
Coaches
Kim Byung-Soo	Ryu Byeong-hoon

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Matheus Oliveira ⚽,
5', 0 - 2, Lee Chang-Yong ⚽,
29', Jeong Chi-In ↓, Edgar ↑,
34', Kim Un 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Park Dae-Hoon ↓, Cesinha ↑,
54', Jeong Heon-taek ↓, Caio Marcelo ↑,
55', Hwang Jae-Won 🟨,
59', 1 - 2, Reis G. ⚽, Kim Jung-Hyeon (A),
61', Chae Hyun-woo ↓, Bruno Mota ↑,
61', Matheus Oliveira ↓, Choi S. ↑,
69', Kim Da-Sol ↓, Lee Yun-Oh ↑,
76', Lee Chang-Yong 🟨,
83', Kim Dong-Jin 🟨,
84', Kim Un ↓, Im Seung-Kyum ↑,
84', Jukic I. ↓, Jang J. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 2, Cesinha ⚽, Edgar (A),
90+6', Reis G. ↓, Bruno Lamas ↑,
90+6', Kim Ju-Gong ↓, Lee Rim ↑,
90+7', Kang Ji-Hoon 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daegu won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Daegu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Daegu won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Daegu won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Daegu - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.89%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Anyang - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.22%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daegu FC
South Korean K-League 1
23.11.25	Jeju - Daegu	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Daegu - Gwangju	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Suwon - Daegu	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Ulsan HD - Daegu	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Daegu - Gangwon	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWTTT
- FC Anyang
South Korean K-League 1
22.11.25	Anyang - Suwon	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Jeju - Anyang	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Anyang - Ulsan HD	3:1 ✺
25.10.25	Gwangju - Anyang	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Anyang - Gimcheon Sangmu	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
22.07.25	Anyang - Daegu	4:0
South Korean Cup
14.05.25	Anyang - Daegu	1:2
South Korean K-League 1
10.05.25	Anyang - Daegu	2:2
15.03.25	Daegu - Anyang	0:1
South Korean Cup
01.07.20	Anyang - Daegu	0:2
South Korean K-League 2
10.10.16	Anyang - Daegu	0:1
23.07.16	Daegu - Anyang	1:1

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