Match Info

K League 1 - Relegation Group - Round 34

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium (Ulsan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hong-kong	M Plus Live
South-korea	Coupang Play, Maxports, Maxports
World	K League TV, Onefootball


	Ulsan HD		Daegu

	1	X	2
	1.67	4	3.9	Watch
				Watch
	1.68	3.9	4.05
	1.75	4.08	4.18
	1.62	4.21	4.32	Watch
	1.69	4.05	4.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.62)	4.05 ↓ (4.21)	4.17 ↓ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulsan HD
55%

Draw
22.8%

Daegu
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

21.9%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

23.6%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulsan HD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Daegu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ulsan HD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daegu than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Ulsan HD - Daegu Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ulsan will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ulsan: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Jo Hyeon-Woo (G) 13. Kang Sang-Woo 4. Seo Myung-Guan 15. Jung Seung-Hyun 26. Park Min-Seo 7. Ko Seung-Beom (C) 5. Jung Woo-Young 72. Baek In-Woo 30. Yoon Jae-Seok 97. Erick Farias 17. Ludwigson G.	31. Han Tae-Hui (G) 2. Hwang Jae-Won 55. Woo Ju-Seong 4. Caio Marcelo 27. Jeong Heon-taek 38. Lee Rim 88. Carlos Jatoba 44. Kim Jung-Hyeon 32. Jeong Chi-In 77. Kim Ju-Gong 11. Cesinha (C)
Substitutes
6. Bojanic D. 2. Cho Hyun-Taek 18. Heo Yool 22. Kim Min-Hyeok 27. Lee Chung-Yong 14. Lee Jin-Hyun 23. Moon Jung-In (G) 66. Trojak M. 11. Um Won-Sang	10. Bruno Lamas 6. Hong Jung-Woon 66. Jo Jin-Woo 45. Kim Hyeon-jun 26. Lee Jin-Yong 74. Lee Yong-Rae 19. Park Dae-Hoon 41. Park Sang-young (G) 5. Reis G.
Coaches
Roh S.	Kim Byung-Soo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', Yoon Jae-Seok ↓, Heo Yool ↑,
31', Erick Farias ↓, Um Won-Sang ↑,
45+1', 0 - 1, Kim Ju-Gong ⚽, Caio Marcelo (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jeong Heon-taek ↓, Kim Hyeon-jun ↑,
46', Baek In-Woo ↓, Lee Chung-Yong ↑,
57', Seo Myung-Guan 🟨,
58', Lee Rim ↓, Bruno Lamas ↑,
70', Ludwigson G. ↓, Bojanic D. ↑,
77', Jeong Chi-In ↓, Park Dae-Hoon ↑,
77', Carlos Jatoba ↓, Lee Jin-Yong ↑,
82', Kim Ju-Gong ↓, Hong Jung-Woon ↑,
85', Jung Woo-Young ↓, Kim Min-Hyeok ↑,
90+7', 1 - 1, Lee Chung-Yong ⚽, Um Won-Sang (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulsan won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Ulsan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ulsan is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ulsan won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 36:16. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ulsan won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:6. (average 2.1:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulsan HD
AFC Champions League
21.10.25	Ulsan HD - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
18.10.25	Ulsan HD - Gwangju	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Ulsan HD	3:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
01.10.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Ulsan HD	1:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
27.09.25	Daegu - Ulsan HD	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLTT
- Daegu FC
South Korean K-League 1
18.10.25	Daegu - Gangwon	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Gwangju - Daegu	2:3 ✺
27.09.25	Daegu - Ulsan HD	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Daejeon Citizen - Daegu	3:2 ✺
14.09.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Daegu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
27.09.25	Daegu - Ulsan HD	1:1
12.07.25	Ulsan HD - Daegu	2:2
13.04.25	Daegu - Ulsan HD	0:1
10.08.24	Ulsan HD - Daegu	1:0
26.06.24	Ulsan HD - Daegu	1:0
01.05.24	Daegu - Ulsan HD	1:2
29.10.23	Ulsan HD - Daegu	2:0

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